738  
FNUS74 KMRX 141800  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR STATION BURN...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
100 PM EST FRI NOV 14 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 EST ON NOVEMBER 14.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
LOW AFTERNOON MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL CONTINUE AGAIN TODAY BEFORE  
BETTER MOISTURE RETURNS STARTING SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES CONTINUE  
TO MODERATE, WITH ABOVE NORMAL HIGHS TOMORROW AND THROUGH THE  
WEEKEND. LIGHT RAIN TO RETURN SATURDAY NIGHT, HIGHEST CHANCES IN  
NORTHEASTERN TENNESSEE NORTHWARDS INTO VIRGINIA. BREEZY CONDITIONS  
EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND AREAWIDE, SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY WILL  
APPROACH WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA IN THE EAST TENNESSEE MOUNTAINS  
ALONG THE STATE BORDER WITH NORTH CAROLINA.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.  
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 15 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........11 3 6 3 4 3  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............60 60 59 57 54 49  
RH..............23 27 30 33 40 56  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 5 5 5 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 1.8 1.6 0.5 0.4 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 14 9 10 12  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 13 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM  
SKY (%).........5 9 6 10 9 33 37 42 42 41 45 48  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............48 47 45 45 44 44 44 44 44 43 43 43  
RH..............58 60 68 70 76 76 76 79 79 86 86 89  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 11 11 11 12 12 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 12 12  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 26  
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........53 47 65 62 72 88 83 78 81 74 53 45  
WEATHER COV..... CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............46 51 55 58 59 60 61 61 61 60 59 58  
RH..............93 83 77 72 72 64 62 65 65 69 72 80  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 14 16 16 17 17 17 18 18 19  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.1 1.3 1.0 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 14 17 20 21 24 25 26 25 22 21 21  
 

 
FORECASTER...BRANDON WASILEWSKI  
REQUESTED BY...DANIEL SUTCH  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2525942.0/MRX  
.DELDT 11/14/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DANIEL.SUTCH@USDA.GOV  
 
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