469  
FNUS74 KMRX 161239  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CNF LOW COMPLEXITY PARKSVILLE BEACH AND BOAT...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
739 AM EST TUE DEC 16 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON DECEMBER 16.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
   
..LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TODAY  
 
CORRECTED HOURLY RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES. MORNING OBSERVATION AT  
THE NEARBY OCOEE OB JUST NORTH OF PARKSVILLE LAKE WAS 58% RH AT 7  
AM.  
 
VERY DRY AIRMASS WILL YIELD VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES  
THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS HOWEVER WILL REMAIN LIGHT, WITH ONLY AN  
ISOLATED GUST STRONGER THAN 15 MPH EXPECTED. SHALLOW MIXING LAYER  
TODAY DUE TO DRY INVERSION LAYER ALOFT. DESPITE WEAK MAGNITUDE,  
WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE SOUTHWEST AND THEREFORE UPSLOPE ON THE  
NORTHERN SIDE OF PARKSVILLE LAKE, WITH A BOOST FROM LOCAL TERRAIN  
INFLUENCE MAINTAINING NORMAL DAYTIME UPSLOPE COMPONENT. UPPER  
LEVEL AND MIDLEVEL CLOUDS WILL BUILD IN OVERNIGHT TONIGHT, BUT LOW  
LEVEL ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN DRY WITH LIGHT WINDS INTO TOMORROW.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.  
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........2 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 3 5  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............33 38 43 46 50 51 51 52 50 45 42  
RH..............51 47 40 31 25 21 21 23 25 32 36  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 4 4 3 3 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 7 8 8 8 8 7 7 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 1.1 1.3 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 8 9 10 10 10 8 6 7 7  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.  
MAX HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 9 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM  
SKY (%).........7 11 31 45 45 55 55 50 69 74 68 81  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............38 37 37 36 36 36 35 36 35 35 36 36  
RH..............42 42 42 44 45 45 47 45 47 47 45 47  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SE SE SE S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 8 7 7 8 7 7 8 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 8 8  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........83 79 74 74 75 75 69 63 57 53 50 46  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............37 41 45 49 51 54 55 56 55 53 50 47  
RH..............50 48 47 44 41 38 38 38 41 45 50 56  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SW SW SW SW SW S S SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 7 7 8 8 8 8 7 6 6 5  
 
 
FORECASTER...NATHAN WELLINGTON  
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN MATOY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2527754.0/MRX  
.DELDT 12/16/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BRIAN.MATOY@USDA.GOV  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab TN Page
The Nexlab VA Page
The Nexlab NC Page
Main Text Page