084  
FNUS74 KMRX 091008  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TN_CNF_NZ_FRENCH_BROAD_RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
508 AM EST FRI JAN 9 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EST ON JANUARY 09.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
...WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FAR EAST TENNESSEE MOUNTAINS  
AND FOOTHILLS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON....  
 
A STRONG SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN  
APPALACHIANS TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY, BRINGING PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND  
POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM, ALONG WITH STRONG WINDS TO THE MOUNTAINS  
AND FOOTHILLS. WIND GUSTS FROM 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE  
ADVISORY AREA.  
 
MUCH NEEDED RAINFALL IS EXPECTED FROM TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY WITH 1  
TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL EXPECTED FOR MOST AREAS, ISOLATED 3 INCH  
AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA. THE OVERALL  
THREAT FOR FLOODING AND SEVERE WEATHER REMAINS LOW AT THIS TIME.  
 
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS  
THROUGH THE DAY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 6  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH 3 TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.37 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........69 79 80 87 87 91 85 93 95 96 96 96  
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC LKY DEF LKY LKY DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............57 59 63 65 68 68 68 69 67 65 64 61  
RH..............83 83 78 75 70 73 76 73 78 84 81 90  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E S SE N NW N N N E SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 4 4 4 3 2 2 1 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 10 10 10 10 8 8 7 6 6 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.3 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S SW SW W S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 12 15 12 10 8 8 6 5 3  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN  
THE EVENING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.46 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM  
SKY (%).........92 96 96 98 93 92 96 94 89 94 97 90  
WEATHER COV.....LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............60 60 60 59 59 59 59 59 58 58 57 58  
RH..............93 93 93 96 96 93 96 93 96 100 100 96  
20 FT WIND DIR..E SE SE SE E E E SE E E SE W  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 4 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.0 1.1 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S S S S SE S SE SE S SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 6 5 6 6 6 5 6 6 6 6 6  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS, THEN  
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.  
MIN HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN  
THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 8 TO  
13 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.60 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........94 95 95 94 93 92 92 93 93 93 92 92  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............57 58 59 61 63 65 65 65 65 63 60 58  
RH..............100 100 100 97 90 84 84 84 81 84 87 86  
20 FT WIND DIR..N W S SW SW W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 7 8 8 10 10 10 11 11 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.5 1.9 1.9 1.7 1.6 1.8 2.2 2.4 2.1 1.8 1.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 6 7 7 8 9 12 13 13 13 13  
 

 
FORECASTER...BRANDON WASILEWSKI  
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS WILSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2528524.3/MRX  
.DELDT 01/09/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CHRISTOPHER.WILSON@USDA.GOV  
 
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