736
FNUS74 KMRX 141342
FWSMRX
SPOT FORECAST FOR STUMP FIELD RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
842 AM EST WED JAN 14 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EST ON JANUARY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.
DISCUSSION
RAIN WILL MOVE IN THIS AFTERNOON WITH AN APPROACHING FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL CHANGE RAIN TO SNOW THIS EVENING WITH
THE MOUNTAINS STAYING AS ALL SNOW. SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
ARE EXPECTED IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH LIGHTER TOTALS POSSIBLE IN OTHER
AREAS. SCATTERED FLURRIES WILL LINGER ON THURSDAY WITH DRY AND VERY
COLD CONDITIONS THURSDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL ARRIVE FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY WITH ANOTHER CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOW.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
MORNING BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST
AROUND 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 16 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON BECOMING
LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 21 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING
TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 22 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.23 INCHES.
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........88 86 84 81 69 80 84 87 92 93 95 95
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
TEMP............39 41 43 44 47 47 47 48 47 46 44 41
RH..............64 65 65 65 58 58 60 60 65 71 76 82
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW W W W W W NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 13 13 14 14 14 14 14 16 17 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.4 1.5 2.0 2.5 2.9 2.8 2.6 2.0 1.7 1.4 1.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.W SW W W W W W W W W NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 17 18 20 21 20 18 17 15 17 22
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE EVENING, THEN
CHANCE OF FLURRIES OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 17.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 10 TO 12 MPH IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 22 TO 28 MPH.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.05 INCHES.
TIME (EST) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM
SKY (%).........94 94 92 85 81 86 86 80 88 79 75 71
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RS RS SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TSTM COV........
TEMP............38 35 33 30 28 27 25 24 22 20 19 19
RH..............85 89 85 85 81 74 78 74 77 77 77 70
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..10 11 11 12 12 12 12 11 11 11 11 10
20 FT WIND GUST.18 19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 19 19
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 2.0 2.7 2.5 2.9 2.9 3.3 3.3 2.7 3.0 2.7 2.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N N N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.23 24 26 25 25 25 28 26 25 25 24 22
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH
IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 26 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 15
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........74 61 47 41 34 28 22 17 11 9 6 4
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............17 19 21 23 26 27 29 30 30 29 27 25
RH..............80 74 68 62 52 48 42 37 35 37 40 44
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..10 9 8 8 9 9 9 9 8 7 6 5
20 FT WIND GUST.19 19 18 18 18 18 18 18 17 14 13 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 2.5 2.9 3.4 4.0 4.5 4.9 5.0 4.6 3.4 1.9 0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 21 21 22 23 24 25 26 25 23 18 15
FORECASTER...LYLE WILSON
REQUESTED BY...CHRISTOPHER MCTAGGART
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2528825.2/MRX
.DELDT 01/14/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MATTHEW.DERSTINE@USDA.GOV,CHRISTOPHER.MCTAGGART@USDA.GOV
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