269
FNUS74 KMRX 210904
FWSMRX
SPOT FORECAST FOR CNF SZ CANE CREEK MTN....USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
404 AM EST WED JAN 21 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON JANUARY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.
DISCUSSION
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES THIS AFTERNOON DROP TO 25 TO 30%, WITH
WINDS GUSTING TO AROUND 20 MPH. PRECIPITATION CHANCES INCREASE
BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT, WITH A SIGNIFICANT PERIOD OF WINTRY
WEATHER POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 17
TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO
THE SOUTH 15 TO 16 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.01 INCHES.
TIME (EST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........15 22 25 24 30 32 50 64 76 86 96
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
TEMP............34 39 44 48 51 52 52 53 51 48 47
RH..............43 39 33 30 28 29 31 29 33 39 42
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.11 12 14 16 16 17 17 17 17 16 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 1.1 1.5 2.2 2.7 2.9 3.0 2.4 0.6 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S SW SW SW S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 17 20 22 24 25 25 21 17 15 16
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 16
MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 6
MPH AFTER 3 AM.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.09 INCHES.
TIME (EST) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM
SKY (%).........89 90 95 93 92 93 95 97 96 96 88 79
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
TEMP............45 44 44 43 43 42 43 41 40 40 39 40
RH..............49 53 60 65 70 79 79 89 96 92 100 92
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S SW SW W SW
20 FT WIND SPD..9 8 8 7 6 5 5 4 3 2 2 1
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 14 13 12 10 10 7 6 5 4 2
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SW S S SW W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 17 15 16 13 12 12 10 8 8 6 5
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........84 74 64 61 58 55 52 50 47 52 57 62
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
TEMP............40 40 42 44 46 49 50 51 51 49 47 45
RH..............92 96 93 86 76 66 58 54 52 56 63 70
20 FT WIND DIR..SW NW N N N N N N N N NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 2 4 5 6 6 6 5 5 4 4
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.8 1.2 1.6 1.9 2.1 2.1 2.0 1.8 1.3 0.8 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW N N NW NW N N N N NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
FORECASTER...DOUG SCHNEIDER
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN MATOY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2600547.2/MRX
.DELDT 01/21/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BRIAN.MATOY@USDA.GOV
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