028  
FNUS74 KMRX 221644  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR WILDERNESS ROAD STATE PARK RX BURN...DCR/VIRGINIA STATE PARKS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
1144 AM EST THU JAN 22 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON JANUARY 22.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
TODAY WILL MOSTLY BE DRY FOR MUCH OF THE REGION. THIS WEEKEND, A  
SIGNIFICANT PERIOD OF WINTRY WEATHER IS LIKELY, WITH A MIX OF SNOW,  
SLEET, AND FREEZING RAIN.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........27 22 43 45 38 36 24 8 10  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............41 43 44 46 46 47 45 42 39  
RH..............73 62 55 47 43 40 43 48 54  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W NW NW NW NW NW NW N  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 0  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 7 7 6 6 6 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 2.7 2.9 3.0 3.0 2.9 1.2 0.7 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW W W NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 10 9 8 5 5 6  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 25.  
MAX HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 8 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM  
SKY (%).........13 16 26 37 48 67 72 78 87 91 87 92  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............34 33 31 30 30 29 29 28 28 28 28 28  
RH..............64 63 69 69 69 72 69 71 71 68 66 68  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 7 6 7 7 7 7 7 6 7 8  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING  
LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 16 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........87 71 53 60 56 38 39 35 29 25 29 36  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............26 31 34 36 38 39 41 41 39 39 35 31  
RH..............71 56 47 44 42 39 36 36 37 35 40 43  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 10 10 10 11 11 12 12 11 11 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 1.2 1.8 2.3 2.6 2.8 3.2 3.2 3.1 2.7 1.3 1.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 13 12 12 14 14 14 16 15 14 13  
 

 
FORECASTER...JEREMY BUCKLES  
REQUESTED BY...JORDON BLEVINS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2600894.0/MRX  
.DELDT 01/22/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JORDON.BLEVINS@DCR.VIRGINIA.GOV  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab TN Page
The Nexlab VA Page
The Nexlab NC Page Main Text Page