998  
FNUS74 KMRX 222002  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CNF SZ CANE CREEK MTN....USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
302 PM EST THU JAN 22 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1600 EST ON JANUARY 22.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
WE REMAIN COOL AND DRY THROUGH FRIDAY. THIS WEEKEND, A SIGNIFICANT  
WINTER STORM IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AND  
TENNESSEE VALLEY WITH A COMPLEX WINTRY MIX OF SNOW, SLEET, AND  
FREEZING RAIN.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 8 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........58 52 63 65  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............49 47 45 43  
RH..............48 51 55 62  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 1.1 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 6 7  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.  
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM  
SKY (%).........60 56 75 90 91 86 90 90 94 94 95 90  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............41 40 39 38 38 37 37 37 36 36 36 35  
RH..............65 67 67 70 70 72 75 72 75 75 75 78  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE N N NE N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 6 6 7  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 8 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 16 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 18  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........85 75 82 67 47 57 48 57 64 53 47 54  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............34 36 37 39 42 42 44 44 45 43 40 39  
RH..............78 75 67 59 48 43 40 36 35 36 41 42  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 10 11 12 13 13 14 14 14 16 16 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.7 2.2 0.6 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NE NE NE NE NE N NE N NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 10 12 13 14 14 15 16 17 18 15 16  
 
 
FORECASTER...JEREMY BUCKLES  
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN MATOY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2600547.3/MRX  
.DELDT 01/22/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BRIAN.MATOY@USDA.GOV  
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