301
FXUS64 KMRX 262328
AFDMRX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
628 PM EST MON JAN 26 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 624 PM EST MON JAN 26 2026
- COLD WITH SOME LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS AND FLURRIES AROUND THIS
AFTERNOON.
- EXTREMELY COLD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY
MORNING, AND IT WILL REMAIN COLD THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.
- ANOTHER SURGE OF BITTER COLD IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO THE
WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1228 PM EST MON JAN 26 2026
WE START THE PERIOD IN THE DEEP FREEZE, AND THE MAIN STORY OF
THIS WEEK CAN BE SUMMED UP IN ONE WORD. COLD.
TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON WILL STAY BELOW FREEZING, AND TONIGHT
TEMPERATURES WILL DROP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS OVER NEARLY ALL OF OUR
AREA. THERE ARE STILL SOME SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS AND FLURRIES
BEING SQUEEZED OUT AS IS TYPICAL IN THESE ARCTIC AIR MASSES, BUT
THESE WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE WINDS
WILL BECOME LIGHTER OVERNIGHT AS THE TEMPERATURES DROP, BUT THE
COMBINATION OF THE LOW TEMPERATURES AND THE WIND THAT IS STILL
AROUND WILL BRING WIND CHILL VALUES DOWN INTO THE 5 BELOW ZERO TO 5
ABOVE ACROSS MUCH OF THE VALLEY AT TIMES, AND ZERO TO 15 BELOW ZERO
AT TIMES IN THE MOUNTAINS OF E TN AND SW VA. WILL KEEP THE COLD
WEATHER ADVISORIES THAT ARE IN PLACE FOR TONIGHT AND TUESDAY
MORNING.
WE WILL REMAIN UNDER A DEEP EASTERN CONUS UPPER TROUGH WITH
GENERALLY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND COLD AIR PERSISTING OVER THE AREA
FOR THE ENTIRE WEEK AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THERE WILL BE A FEW
MOISTURE STARVED SHORT WAVES THAT ROTATE THROUGH AND BRING
REINFORCING SHOTS OF COLD AIR, WITH MODELS GENERALLY SHOWING ONE
AROUND TUE NIGHT, ANOTHER IN THE WED NIGHT/THU TIME FRAME, AND A
MUCH STRONGER ONE AROUND THE FRIDAY NIGHT/SATURDAY TIME FRAME. THESE
SYSTEMS MAY BRING SOME SNOW SHOWERS AND FLURRIES, BUT RIGHT NOW
INDICATIONS ARE THAT ANY PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY BE VERY LIGHT.
WHILE TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL BELOW NORMAL FOR THE ENTIRE PERIOD,
CURRENT MODELS SUGGEST ANOTHER ROUND OF BITTER COLD IS LIKELY
SOMETIME IN THE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY TIME FRAME BEHIND THE MORE
POTENT WAVE. STAY TUNED.
MONDAY MAY SEE SOME SLIGHT MODERATION IN TEMPERATURES AS THE UPPER
TROUGH BEGINS TO SHIFT FURTHER EAST AND HEIGHTS START TO RISE, BUT
OF COURSE DETAILS ARE MURKY AT BEST THAT FAR OUT AND TEMPERATURES
STILL LOOK SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW NORMAL EVEN THEN.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 624 PM EST MON JAN 26 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL. CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO CLEAR AND WINDS
LIGHTEN TO LESS THAN 10KTS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. TYS/TRI CAN
EXPECTED SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS GUSTING AROUND 20KTS TOMORROW
AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN 11 40 20 42 / 0 0 0 0
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN 8 36 19 38 / 0 0 0 0
OAK RIDGE, TN 7 36 18 37 / 0 0 0 0
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN 6 32 17 33 / 10 0 10 0
MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST TUESDAY FOR CHEROKEE-CLAY.
TN...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST /11 AM CST/ TUESDAY FOR
ANDERSON-BLEDSOE-BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-BRADLEY-CAMPBELL-
CLAIBORNE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-EAST POLK-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-
HAMILTON-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-KNOX-LOUDON-
MARION-MCMINN-MEIGS-MORGAN-NORTH SEVIER-NORTHWEST BLOUNT-
NORTHWEST CARTER-NORTHWEST COCKE-NORTHWEST GREENE-NORTHWEST
MONROE-RHEA-ROANE-SCOTT TN-SEQUATCHIE-SEVIER SMOKY
MOUNTAINS-SOUTHEAST CARTER-SOUTHEAST GREENE-SOUTHEAST
MONROE-SULLIVAN-UNICOI-UNION-WASHINGTON TN-WEST POLK.
VA...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST TUESDAY FOR LEE-RUSSELL-
SCOTT VA-WASHINGTON VA-WISE.
DISCUSSION...99
AVIATION...KRS
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