889  
FNUS74 KMRX 250640  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MCELYEA RX...TN DIV. OF FORESTRY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
140 AM EST WED FEB 25 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EST ON FEBRUARY 25.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
BREEZY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY,  
ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. WIDESPREAD RAIN WILL RETURN  
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND LOOKS DRY  
WITH MILD TEMPERATURES.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 52 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH IN  
THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 10  
TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.02 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........64 72 75 77 75 81 77 80 89 91 89 95  
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............39 43 47 50 51 53 55 55 55 57 55 55  
RH..............73 68 63 60 60 56 53 56 59 60 66 69  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW SW S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..11 11 12 12 11 12 11 9 7 6 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17 18 20 19 20 21 17 14 14 13 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.7 1.7 2.0 2.0 2.2 1.7 1.6 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 18 22 22 21 20 20 17 16 13 10 12  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN  
THE EVENING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.21 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM  
SKY (%).........95 94 96 96 96 97 97 97 96 97 96 96  
WEATHER COV.....CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF LKY DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............53 53 53 53 54 53 53 53 53 51 53 53  
RH..............78 82 86 89 90 93 93 93 96 100 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 13 13 14 14 16 16 16 16 16 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 13 14 16 17 17 18 17 18 17 14 13  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS IN  
THE MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY LATE IN  
THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MIN HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN  
THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH  
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.31 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........96 94 92 90 88 86 85 84 83 81 79 77  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............53 54 56 58 59 60 61 62 62 61 60 59  
RH..............100 100 96 93 90 87 84 78 75 78 78 80  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 5 4 4 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 14 14 14 13 13 12 11 10 10 8 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.9 1.9 1.5 0.9 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW W W W W W NW N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 12 12 10 9 8 7 6 5 5 5  
 
 
FORECASTER...LYLE WILSON  
REQUESTED BY...CALEB LYNN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2603839.0/MRX  
.DELDT 02/25/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CALEB.LYNN@TN.GOV  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab TN Page
The Nexlab VA Page
The Nexlab NC Page
Main Text Page