187  
FNUS74 KMRX 061025  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR NZ_CNF_WOLF_CREEK_RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
525 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EST ON MARCH 06.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
NEAR RECORD WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TOMORROW  
WITH MOST PLACES RISING INTO THE UPPER 70S AND LOW 80S. AN  
ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON  
AND EVENING HOURS TODAY, BUT OVERALL PROBABILITY FOR RAIN IS  
PRETTY LOW. BETTER CHANCES FOR RAIN EXIST LATE TOMORROW AFTERNOON  
AND TOMORROW NIGHT.  
 
WIND TODAY IS GENERALLY SOUTHWESTERLY, WITH A PERIODIC GUST TO 15  
TO 20 MPH POSSIBLE, PRIMARILY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 13 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.02 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........63 52 51 46 54 63 69 65 57 43 28 23  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH  
TEMP............57 62 65 68 69 71 71 71 70 69 68 64  
RH..............83 75 70 63 61 55 55 55 59 61 63 70  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW W W SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 11 12 11 15 15 15 14 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.5 2.1 3.4 4.4 5.1 5.4 4.3 3.3 2.0 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 8 9 12 13 13 9 9 8 6 7  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 14 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM  
SKY (%).........28 24 13 21 29 28 41 38 55 35 44 34  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH  
TEMP............64 63 62 62 62 61 61 60 61 61 61 59  
RH..............70 75 75 75 75 78 81 84 81 81 84 90  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 12 13 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 12 13 12 12 14 13 13 13 13 13 13  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY  
IN THE MORNING, THEN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 19  
MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 19 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 13  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.03 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........39 34 28 30 33 35 36 36 37 51 64 78  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC  
TEMP............61 64 68 70 72 73 73 72 71 69 67 65  
RH..............87 78 68 61 57 53 51 53 55 59 65 70  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 16 17 18 18 19 19 19 19 18 18 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.8 2.0 3.0 3.9 4.5 4.8 4.7 4.2 2.9 1.4 0.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 15 18 21 22 23 23 22 21 18 15 13  
 
 
FORECASTER...NATHAN WELLINGTON  
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS WILSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2604839.2/MRX  
.DELDT 03/06/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CHRISTOPHER.WILSON@USDA.GOV  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab TN Page
The Nexlab VA Page
The Nexlab NC Page
Main Text Page