456  
FNUS74 KMRX 061052  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR JONES RIDGE...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
552 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EST ON MARCH 06.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
NEAR RECORD WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TOMORROW  
WITH PEAK AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES NEAR 80. CANNOT RULE OUT A LATE  
AFTERNOON/EVENING SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM, BUT FOR NOW EXPECTING  
DRY WEATHER TODAY. RAIN CHANCES BEGIN TO INCREASE IN EARNEST  
TOMORROW AFTERNOON HEADING INTO TOMORROW NIGHT. TOMORROW MORNING  
LOOKS TO REMAIN DRY.  
 
WIND TODAY IS GENERALLY WEST TO SOUTHWESTERLY, WITH A PERIODIC  
GUST TO 15 MPH POSSIBLE, PRIMARILY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS WITH  
PEAK MIXING.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY  
SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING SUNNY  
(15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY  
(25-35 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN  
BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........49 41 40 35 38 41 35 20 28 23 22 17 30  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............53 55 61 66 70 72 74 75 76 76 75 73 70  
RH..............93 90 81 70 63 57 51 50 46 48 50 53 59  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE E S SW SW SW W SW SW W W SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 3 5 5 6 6 5 5 4 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 7 8 10 10 10 10 10 7 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.8 2.6 4.0 4.7 5.4 5.9 6.2 5.2 4.1 0.6 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW W W W W W SW SW SW W S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 12 14 15 14 14 14 12 8 5 5  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 8 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 8 PM 11 PM 2 AM 5 AM  
SKY (%).........28 17 29 32  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............65 61 58 57  
RH..............70 81 90 93  
20 FT WIND......S 2G5 S 2G6 S 3G6 S 3G7  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 500 500 500  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 6 S 7 S 8 S 7  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 11 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 24  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON, THEN  
DECREASING TO AROUND 13 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.07 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 8 AM 11 AM 2 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........46 39 33 44  
WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC LIKELY LIKELY  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC CHANCE  
TEMP............59 71 77 75  
RH..............87 66 50 52  
20 FT WIND......S 5G10 SW 8G14 SW 11G18 SW 8G16  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 2900 5500 3600  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 7 SW 14 SW 24 SW 20  
 
 
FORECASTER...NATHAN WELLINGTON  
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN SULLIVAN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2604849.1/MRX  
.DELDT 03/06/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL KEVIN.SULLIVAN1@USDA.GOV  
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