978  
FNUS74 KMRX 061114  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR GARRISON PF...FORT LOUDOUN STATE PARK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
614 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EST ON MARCH 06.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
NEAR RECORD WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TOMORROW  
WITH THE HIGH TEMPERATURE TODAY NEAR 80. AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR  
THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON OR EVENING, BUT  
THE PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE IS VERY LOW. BETTER CHANCES FOR  
RAIN RETURN TOMORROW AFTERNOON INTO TOMORROW NIGHT.  
 
WINDS ARE FROM THE SOUTHWEST TODAY, WITH POTENTIAL TO GUST IN THE  
AFTERNOON HOURS TO 15 TO 20 MPH. WINDS WILL WEAKEN TO LIGHT WIND  
TONIGHT AS THE SURFACE INVERSION REDEVELOPS AFTER SUNSET.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.  
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN  
BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORM  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 9 TO 17 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.03 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........73 65 59 62 52 57 62 43 30 29 26 26 34  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH  
TEMP............57 59 65 70 73 76 78 79 80 81 80 78 75  
RH..............96 93 84 76 68 62 58 56 52 49 52 54 60  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 5 5 6 6 6 6 5 4 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 6 8 10 11 12 13 12 12 10 10 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.4 0.8 2.3 3.9 4.6 4.6 4.3 4.7 3.7 3.3 0.7 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S SW SW S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 7 13 16 17 17 17 17 15 15 10 9  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT,  
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 12 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM  
SKY (%).........18 15 15 27 41 34 58 53 58 55 53 63  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH  
TEMP............71 69 68 66 66 65 65 65 64 64 64 63  
RH..............68 73 76 81 81 84 87 87 90 90 90 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 8 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 10 12 12 12 12 10 10 10 10  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN SHOWERS AND  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.  
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 11 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 17  
TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE SOUTH AROUND 14 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.08 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........40 44 48 45 41 38 49 59 70 74 79 83  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC  
TEMP............65 68 72 75 77 78 80 81 81 79 75 72  
RH..............87 81 73 66 60 56 51 49 49 54 62 71  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 8 10 11 11 11 10 9 7 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 14 17 18 18 18 18 18 18 16 14 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 1.7 3.1 3.8 4.1 4.3 4.8 5.1 5.0 3.7 2.1 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 17 23 24 24 23 24 25 25 22 17 14  
 

 
FORECASTER...NATHAN WELLINGTON  
REQUESTED BY...ERIC HUGHEY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2604761.0/MRX  
.DELDT 03/06/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ERIC.HUGHEY@TN.GOV  
 
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