779  
FNUS74 KMRX 061200  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MILKSICK/PANTHER TOP...U.S. FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
700 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON MARCH 06.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
NEAR RECORD WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TOMORROW  
WITH THE HIGH TEMPERATURE TODAY NEAR 80. AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR  
THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON OR EVENING  
TODAY, BUT THE PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE REMAINS LOW. BETTER  
CHANCES FOR RAIN RETURN TOMORROW AFTERNOON INTO TOMORROW NIGHT.  
 
WINDS ARE FROM THE SOUTH TODAY, WITH POTENTIAL TO GUST IN THE  
AFTERNOON HOURS TO 15 TO 20 MPH. WINDS WILL WEAKEN TO LIGHT WIND  
TONIGHT AS THE SURFACE INVERSION REDEVELOPS AFTER SUNSET.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON, CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
THIS EVENING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.  
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN  
THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORM IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 14 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.07 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........65 68 67 55 48 43 35 33 41  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC  
TEMP............70 73 76 77 77 78 77 74 72  
RH..............76 68 62 58 56 52 56 62 66  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 4 5 5 5 5 4 3 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 10 10 11 11 10 10 8 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 3.8 3.9 4.0 4.2 3.6 1.9 1.1 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 14 14 14 13 12 10 8 9  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 10 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.07 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM  
SKY (%).........38 43 51 44 51 70 67 69 80 73 69 82  
WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
TEMP............68 66 64 63 62 62 61 61 61 61 61 59  
RH..............78 81 87 90 93 93 100 100 97 97 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE E SE SE E SE SE E SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 7 7 7 6 7 7 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SE S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 8 9 8 9 9 10 9 9 8 10 8  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND A THUNDERSTORM IN THE MORNING,  
THEN SHOWERS LIKELY WITH A CHANCE FOR  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.  
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY  
IN THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.08 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........61 61 61 57 52 59 59 59 59 59 66 74  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC  
TEMP............61 64 67 70 73 75 77 78 77 76 73 71  
RH..............100 97 90 81 71 64 58 56 56 58 64 68  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 5 6 6 7 7 6 6 5 4 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 10 11 13 14 14 14 14 13 12 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.5 2.6 3.4 4.1 4.4 4.5 4.2 3.6 2.7 1.7 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 13 16 18 20 20 18 17 15 13 12 10  
 

 
FORECASTER...NATHAN WELLINGTON  
REQUESTED BY...TIMMY WILLIAMS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2604901.0/MRX  
.DELDT 03/06/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DREW.FORD@USDA.GOV,TIMOTHY.WILLIAMS@USDA.GOV  
 
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