575  
FNUS74 KMRX 061215  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR NZ_CNF_JONES_RIDGE_RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
715 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON MARCH 06.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
NEAR RECORD WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TOMORROW  
WITH PEAK AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 70S. CANNOT RULE OUT  
A LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM, BUT FOR NOW  
EXPECTING DRY WEATHER TODAY. RAIN CHANCES BEGIN TO INCREASE IN  
EARNEST TOMORROW AFTERNOON HEADING INTO TOMORROW NIGHT. TOMORROW  
MORNING LOOKS TO REMAIN DRY.  
 
WIND TODAY IS GENERALLY SOUTHWESTERLY, BUT LIGHT, WITH A PERIODIC  
GUST TO 15 MPH POSSIBLE, WITH ANY GUSTS PRIMARILY DURING THE  
AFTERNOON HOURS WITH PEAK MIXING. WINDS WILL WEAKEN TO NEAR CALM  
MAGNITUDE TONIGHT.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING  
LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........33 34 41 35 21 30 23 26 27 34  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............67 70 72 74 75 76 76 77 74 70  
RH..............68 61 55 51 48 46 46 48 51 59  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W W W W W W SW S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 4 5 5 5 5 4 3 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 8 10 8 8 7 6 6 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 4.6 5.2 5.8 6.2 6.4 5.6 4.0 1.1 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W SW SW SW SW SW S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 14 14 13 13 13 10 7 5 5  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM  
SKY (%).........26 29 23 16 18 14 23 30 33 32 28 41  
WEATHER COV..... SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............66 64 64 62 62 61 61 60 59 59 59 59  
RH..............68 73 75 78 81 81 84 84 87 87 87 87  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 7 8 8 8 9 8 8 7 8 8  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
FOR SHOWERS AND A THUNDERSTORM IN THE  
MORNING, THEN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH BECOMING AROUND 12 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.10 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........36 39 41 40 39 61 61 61 61 61 61 75  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH  
TEMP............61 64 69 72 74 75 77 78 77 76 73 71  
RH..............87 81 70 64 57 54 48 45 47 48 53 59  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 5 6 7 8 9 9 8 7 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 10 10 12 14 14 14 14 14 13 12 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.4 2.2 3.1 4.1 4.9 5.3 5.4 4.9 3.7 2.1 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 10 14 17 21 23 23 22 18 15 12  
 
 
FORECASTER...NATHAN WELLINGTON  
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS WILSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2604938.0/MRX  
.DELDT 03/06/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CHRISTOPHER.WILSON@USDA.GOV  
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