310  
FNUS74 KMRX 061425  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR NATURAL TUNNEL STATE PARK RX BURN...DCR - VIRGINIA STATE PARKS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
925 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON MARCH 06.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
NEAR RECORD WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TOMORROW  
WITH MOST PLACES RISING INTO THE UPPER 70S AND LOW 80S. A FEW  
ISOLATED SHOWERS OR STORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY, BUT SCATTERED TO  
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.  
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 42 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR ANY  
THUNDERSTORM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........46 52 48 34 46 23 24 22 16 7  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH  
TEMP............66 69 72 75 76 78 78 76 74 71  
RH..............67 62 57 52 48 43 42 45 48 55  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 4 5 5 5 5 3 2 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 7 10 10 10 10 7 6 4  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 2.8 4.0 4.8 5.1 5.4 4.9 3.1 1.0 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 10 13 14 14 15 13 10 6 7  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.  
MAX HUMIDITY........AROUND 93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM  
SKY (%).........6 16 17 23 18 29 57 57 64 61 70 67  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............66 65 63 62 61 60 60 60 59 58 59 58  
RH..............67 72 81 84 84 87 87 90 90 93 90 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..S W E E E SE NE NE E E NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 6 6 6 7 7 6 6 6 5 5  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY  
WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SHOWERS WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.  
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 50 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 18 MPH.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 28  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON,  
THEN DECREASING TO 15 TO 18 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.08 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........75 64 53 49 45 65 65 65 65 65 67 77  
WEATHER COV..... LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC  
TEMP............60 63 67 70 73 75 77 78 78 76 74 71  
RH..............93 90 81 73 64 58 52 50 50 54 59 66  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 5 6 8 10 10 10 9 8 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 8 11 14 16 18 18 18 17 16 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 1.1 2.3 3.8 4.9 5.2 4.9 4.2 3.1 1.9 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 7 13 20 25 28 28 26 23 18 15  
 
 
FORECASTER...LYLE WILSON  
REQUESTED BY...JORDON BLEVINS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2604947.0/MRX  
.DELDT 03/06/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JORDON.BLEVINS@DCR.VIRGINIA.GOV  
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