456  
FNUS74 KMRX 061456  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR JGREENWELL RX...TENNESSEE DIVISION OF FORESTRY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
956 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON MARCH 06.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
NEAR RECORD WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TOMORROW  
WITH MOST PLACES RISING INTO THE UPPER 70S AND LOW 80S. A FEW  
ISOLATED SHOWERS OR STORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY, BUT SCATTERED TO  
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY (30-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.  
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 45 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH BECOMING LIGHT LATE.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR ANY  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........70 72 69 53 25 23 28 27 39  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH  
TEMP............71 74 77 78 79 80 78 76 73  
RH..............65 61 56 53 49 45 48 51 57  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW SW S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 7 8 6 5 5 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 12 14 14 15 13 11 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 3.5 4.1 4.3 4.6 3.9 3.1 0.6 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 17 20 20 20 18 16 13 10  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE EVENING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MAX HUMIDITY........AROUND 100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY  
IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 14 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM  
SKY (%).........25 35 35 45 54 68 75 73 75 87 81 74  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH  
TEMP............69 68 67 66 65 64 64 64 63 63 63 61  
RH..............68 74 81 84 87 90 90 93 97 97 97 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 11 11 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S SW S SW S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 13 12 12 12 12 13 12 10 12 13 14  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY  
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
MORNING, THEN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.  
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 54 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR ANY  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.12 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........71 70 69 64 59 68 68 71 79 79 80 80  
WEATHER COV..... LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC  
TEMP............63 65 69 72 74 76 77 79 78 76 73 69  
RH..............97 93 84 76 71 64 60 54 56 60 68 78  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 8 9 10 11 11 10 9 8 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 14 17 18 18 18 18 18 17 14 14 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 1.1 1.9 2.6 3.2 3.5 3.8 3.8 3.5 2.6 1.4 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 17 22 24 26 26 26 25 24 22 18 15  
 
 
FORECASTER...LYLE WILSON  
REQUESTED BY...TRAVIS CHADWICK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2604950.0/MRX  
.DELDT 03/06/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL TRAVIS.CHADWICK@TN.GOV  
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