041
FNUS74 KMRX 071051
FWSMRX
SPOT FORECAST FOR NZ_CNF_JONES_RIDGE_RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
551 AM EST SAT MAR 7 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EST ON MARCH 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.
DISCUSSION
BREEZY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AND RECORD HEAT ARE EXPECTED TODAY
WITH HIGHS TO NEAR 80. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS COMING ACROSS THE LAKE
ARE LIKELY TO GUST TO NEAR 20 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. DRY WEATHER IS
THE EXPECTATION DURING THE BULK OF TODAY. MOST LIKELY TIMING FOR A
LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS 6 TO 9 PM EST THIS EVENING.
THUNDERSTORMS MAY HAVE GUSTY, ERRATIC WINDS WITH THEM. RAIN WILL
FOLLOW THE STORMS.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 17 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 20 TO
28 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN DECREASING TO
AROUND 17 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.07 INCHES.
TIME (EST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........34 23 22 24 22 24 31 40 35 41 44 55 63
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC CHC LKY
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP............57 59 65 70 72 75 76 76 78 76 76 73 69
RH..............93 90 78 68 61 54 50 50 45 48 48 55 63
20 FT WIND DIR..SE S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W SW
20 FT WIND SPD..3 4 5 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 7 6 5
20 FT WIND GUST.8 10 12 13 14 16 17 17 17 16 16 14 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.6 2.6 3.8 4.4 5.0 5.7 5.3 4.8 4.3 3.4 2.3 1.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 13 20 23 24 26 28 28 25 22 17 17
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.16 INCHES.
TIME (EST) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM
SKY (%).........68 85 82 81 94 88 82 91 91 93 96 94
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP............66 65 64 63 62 61 61 60 60 59 59 59
RH..............73 75 81 81 87 90 90 93 90 96 93 93
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 12 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.0 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W SW SW W
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 13 14 13 15 14 14 13 12 12 14 13
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 16 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 6 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.11 INCHES.
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........92 93 93 92 91 90 80 70 60 58 56 54
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP............58 59 61 62 62 63 64 65 65 65 63 62
RH..............100 96 90 84 84 78 75 70 70 68 72 72
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W W W W W W W W SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 5 4 3 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 10 10 7 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 2.3 2.4 2.2 2.0 2.0 3.0 4.2 4.8 3.9 2.3 1.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 14 15 16 16 15 14 12 9 7 6
FORECASTER...NATHAN WELLINGTON
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS WILSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2604938.2/MRX
.DELDT 03/07/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CHRISTOPHER.WILSON@USDA.GOV
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