519  
FNUS74 KMRX 112228  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR NZ_CNF_BELL_COW_RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
628 PM EDT WED MAR 11 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MARCH 12.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
LINE OF STORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH OVERNIGHT BRINGING WIDESPREAD  
WIND AND RAIN TO THE REGION. AFTER THE RAIN ENDS OVERNIGHT EXPECT  
TOMORROW TO BE MUCH COLDER AND HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES  
WITH THE COLDER TEMPERATURES.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY  
SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
TEMPERATURE.........33 AT IGNITION...MAX 45.  
RH..................96 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH AT  
IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 13  
MPH. GUSTS UP TO 28 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4900 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 28 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 15  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.12 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........91 92 85 52 38 12 6 4 9 8  
WEATHER COV.....CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....SW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............33 33 36 38 40 43 43 43 43 41  
RH..............96 92 75 64 55 47 43 38 38 40  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..13 11 11 11 10 10 9 9 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.22 21 21 22 20 20 18 18 17 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 2.1 2.7 3.4 3.9 3.9 4.7 4.9 3.5 1.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 21 24 26 25 26 28 26 23 15  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 30.  
RH..................MAX 63 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
WEST EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT  
LATE IN THE EVENING BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8  
MPH OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
6 TO 13 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM  
SKY (%).........7 9 9 6 8 9 11 9 6 4 5 5  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............39 38 36 34 33 32 32 31 31 31 31 31  
RH..............43 47 52 56 58 61 61 63 63 63 63 63  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW W S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 4 4 4 5 6 6 7 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 10 8 7 7 8 10 10 11 12 13 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW W S SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 10 7 5 5 6 7 8 10 12 13 13  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 60.  
RH..................MIN 29 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 18  
MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 18 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 10  
TO 18 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........6 8 9 11 11 11 11 17 22 28 21 14  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............32 35 39 44 48 53 57 59 60 60 59 57  
RH..............61 56 52 46 40 35 32 30 29 31 33 35  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S S SW SW SW SW W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 17 17 17 18 18 18 18 18 17 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 2.4 4.0 5.1 5.6 5.4 4.8 3.5 2.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S S S SW SW SW W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 14 14 16 17 18 18 18 17 14 10  
 
 
FORECASTER...ANDREW MOULTON  
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS WILSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2605466.0/MRX  
.DELDT 03/11/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CHRISTOPHER.WILSON@USDA.GOV  
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