145
FNUS74 KMRX 121445
FWSMRX
SPOT FORECAST FOR BEARPAW1...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1045 AM EDT THU MAR 12 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0000 EDT ON MARCH 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.
DISCUSSION
SATURDAY SHOULD BRING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS ACROSS
THE REGION WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. THE WARM TEMPERATURES
WILL HELP DRIVE RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES LOWER IN THE AFTERNOON
HOURS LIKELY BELOW THE 40TH PERCENTILE.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........44 AT IGNITION...MIN 35.
RH..................70 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MAX 96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 1 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
OVERNIGHT.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM
SKY (%).........3 3 3 7 10 14 15 15
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............44 42 41 40 39 38 36 35
RH..............70 79 82 85 85 89 92 96
20 FT WIND DIR..S N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
20 FT WIND GUST.4 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W SW SE E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 74.
RH..................MIN 29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 3 TO 8
MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........16 18 19 21 25 29 33 31 28 26 29 32
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............36 41 47 54 60 66 70 73 74 73 71 68
RH..............92 82 74 61 51 40 35 31 30 30 32 37
20 FT WIND DIR..N N SE SE S S SW SW SW S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 1 1 2 2 3 4 4 4 4 3
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 2 2 4 6 7 8 10 10 8 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.8 1.3 2.0 3.1 4.3 5.2 5.8 6.0 5.5 4.0 2.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E S S S SW SW SW SW S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 3 3 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 8
SATURDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 47.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 14 MPH.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM
SKY (%).........35 25 16 6 6 6 6 12 19 25 28 31
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............64 60 56 53 51 50 50 49 49 49 48 47
RH..............45 51 57 64 68 71 71 74 77 77 80 86
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 7 7 8 8 10 10 10 10 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 10 13 14 14 13 12 10 10 10 10 12
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 71.
RH..................MIN 55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 11 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 13 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 29
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON, THEN
DECREASING TO AROUND 17 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........34 35 35 36 41 47 52 61 70 79 79 79
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
TEMP............48 50 53 57 61 65 68 69 70 70 69 67
RH..............86 86 86 80 72 63 57 55 55 55 57 61
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S SE
20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 6 8 9 10 11 11 11 10 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.12 14 16 18 18 19 20 20 19 19 19 19
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.6 2.3 3.1 4.0 4.7 5.3 5.4 5.2 4.8 4.2 3.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 15 17 21 24 28 29 29 26 24 21 17
FORECASTER...ANDREW MOULTON
REQUESTED BY...DREW FORD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2605510.0/MRX
.DELDT 03/12/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DREW.FORD@USDA.GOV
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