141
FNUS74 KMRX 121518
FWSMRX
SPOT FORECAST FOR ELBOW CREEK RX PLANNING SPOT...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1118 AM EDT THU MAR 12 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.
DISCUSSION
SATURDAY SHOULD BRING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS ACROSS
THE REGION WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. THE WARM TEMPERATURES
WILL HELP DRIVE RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES LOWER IN THE AFTERNOON
HOURS LIKELY BELOW THE 40TH PERCENTILE.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........56 AT IGNITION...MAX 72.
RH..................55 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 1 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 5700 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........27 30 32 35 33 30 28 29 31
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............56 61 65 68 71 72 72 70 67
RH..............55 46 40 36 32 31 31 34 39
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW SW SW S
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 3 4 4 4 4 4 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 7 10 10 10 10 10 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 3.0 4.0 4.8 5.4 5.7 5.3 3.8 2.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW SW S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 6 6 7 8 8 8 7 7
SATURDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 50.
RH..................MAX 77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 16 MPH.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM
SKY (%).........32 25 17 10 9 7 6 11 16 21 24 26
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............63 60 57 55 53 53 52 51 51 51 50 50
RH..............46 49 55 57 61 64 66 68 71 71 74 77
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 10 10 11 12 13 14 14 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 9 12 14 15 15 15 15 16 16 16 15
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 70.
RH..................MIN 53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 11 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 29 MPH
INCREASING TO 30 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 16 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 33
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........29 31 32 34 40 45 51 60 70 79 77 74
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
TEMP............51 53 57 60 63 66 68 69 69 69 69 67
RH..............77 77 72 69 65 58 55 53 55 55 55 61
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 7 8 9 10 11 11 11 11 10 9
20 FT WIND GUST.16 18 19 21 22 22 22 22 22 22 23 24
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.6 2.4 3.3 4.3 5.2 5.7 5.6 5.2 4.6 4.1 3.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 18 23 26 30 32 33 33 33 31 28 24
FORECASTER...ANDREW MOULTON
REQUESTED BY...DREW FORD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2605514.0/MRX
.DELDT 03/12/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DREW.FORD@USDA.GOV
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