187  
FNUS74 KMRX 131733 AAA  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ELBOW CREEK RX PLANNING SPOT...UPDATED  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
133 PM EDT FRI MAR 13 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 14.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL BE GUSTY TODAY. A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED  
TODAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL BE SUNDAY  
NIGHT INTO MONDAY. COOL TEMPS RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 12 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........6 7 6 5 4 5 20 4 5  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............56 61 65 69 71 71 72 71 68  
RH..............59 51 43 36 36 34 34 35 40  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.4 6 6 6 7 8 10 10 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 2.5 3.4 4.3 4.6 5.2 5.4 4.1 2.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE S S SW S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 6 7 8 10 12 12 9  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.  
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20  
MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM  
SKY (%).........5 5 5 5 11 18 24 32 41 49 54 59  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............64 61 58 56 54 53 53 53 53 53 52 52  
RH..............46 51 55 59 63 66 69 70 71 72 75 78  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 10 10 12 14 14 17 18 18 19 19 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 12 14 16 17 17 17 17 18 18 20 20  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 32 MPH  
INCREASING TO 35 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 22 TO 31 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 26  
TO 35 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........64 67 71 74 75 77 78 73 67 62 68 73  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............52 55 58 61 64 66 68 69 70 71 69 68  
RH..............79 78 76 72 68 63 59 56 55 53 57 61  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 9 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 10 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 21 22 23 23 23 26 25 25 25 26 28  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 1.9 2.5 3.1 3.3 3.5 3.7 4.2 4.8 5.1 4.7 4.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 25 28 31 33 35 35 35 33 31 29 26  
 
 
FORECASTER...CHARLES DALTON  
REQUESTED BY...DREW FORD  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2605514.0/MRX  
.DELDT 03/13/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DREW.FORD@USDA.GOV  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab TN Page
The Nexlab VA Page
The Nexlab NC Page
Main Text Page