162  
FNUS74 KMRX 150836  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR NZ_CNF_BELL_COW_RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
436 AM EDT SUN MAR 15 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON MARCH 15.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
..HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT MONDAY  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
SOUTHERLY OR SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY WITH GUSTS  
AROUND 40 TO 45 MPH EXPECTED BY THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL PEAK SUNDAY  
NIGHT WITH DOWNSLOPE WIND PRONE SPOTS GETTING GUSTS UP TO 75 MPH.  
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BE APPROACHING TODAY AND WILL MOVE THROUGH  
THE AREA TONIGHT. STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE MOUNTAINS  
AND FOOTHILLS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL ALSO BECOME GUSTY  
IN VALLEY LOCATIONS BY THIS AFTERNOON. A LINE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS  
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION OVERNIGHT, AND SOME LIGHT SNOW WILL BE  
POSSIBLE ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE SYSTEM MONDAY ESPECIALLY OVER THE  
HIGHER ELEVATIONS.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 13 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 39  
MPH INCREASING TO 43 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 20 TO 26 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 28  
TO 37 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON,  
THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 22 MPH LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........56 60 62 64 54 64 71 69 67 68 78 83  
WEATHER COV..... SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............46 48 50 54 57 59 62 63 64 63 63 61  
RH..............73 75 74 73 65 57 53 52 53 57 59 65  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..16 16 16 15 16 16 15 15 15 15 16 17  
20 FT WIND GUST.24 26 29 30 30 31 30 30 30 30 32 34  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.7 1.4 2.2 2.6 3.1 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.2 2.9 1.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S S S S S S S S SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 21 26 31 36 37 37 36 32 30 28 22  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS AND  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 19 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST 16 TO 18 MPH AFTER 3 AM. GUSTS UP TO  
48 MPH DECREASING TO 37 MPH EARLY IN THE  
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 21 TO 26 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 22 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.40 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM  
SKY (%).........69 63 60 66 65 71 66 62 68 55 78 83  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH LKY DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH  
TEMP............60 60 60 60 60 59 59 59 60 60 53 51  
RH..............68 71 71 72 75 78 78 78 77 72 88 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..17 18 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 18 17  
20 FT WIND GUST.36 38 38 38 36 36 35 35 35 35 32 30  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 2.4 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.8 2.7 2.4 2.3 2.1 1.6 1.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE S S S S S S S SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 22 23 24 24 24 23 26 24 23 22 22  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS IN THE  
MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 36 MPH  
DECREASING TO 31 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON, THEN INCREASING TO 35 MPH LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 24 MPH INCREASING TO 29 TO 31 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.50 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........97 94 93 91 91 91 91 89 88 86 86 85  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............49 41 41 43 41 38 35 34 34 33 32 31  
RH..............93 93 96 93 89 92 92 87 79 75 71 69  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 12 11 10 10 10 10 11 12 14 17  
20 FT WIND GUST.29 25 22 21 20 20 20 21 22 23 25 28  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.7 3.3 4.0 4.5 4.8 4.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 17 18 18 18 20 21 24 29 31 31 30  
 
 
FORECASTER...JEANIE MCDERMOTT  
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS WILSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2605466.5/MRX  
.DELDT 03/15/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CHRISTOPHER.WILSON@USDA.GOV  
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