606  
FNUS74 KMRX 150936  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TN-CNF CEDAR GAP RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
536 AM EDT SUN MAR 15 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0730 EDT ON MARCH 15.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
..HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT MONDAY  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY WITH GUSTS AROUND 35 MPH  
EXPECTED BY THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL PEAK TONIGHT WITH DOWNSLOPE  
WIND PRONE SPOTS GETTING GUSTS UP TO 75 MPH. A STRONG COLD FRONT  
WILL BE APPROACHING TODAY AND WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT.  
STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS  
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL ALSO BECOME GUSTY IN VALLEY  
LOCATIONS BY THIS AFTERNOON. A LINE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL MOVE  
THROUGH THE REGION OVERNIGHT, AND SOME LIGHT SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE  
ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE SYSTEM MONDAY ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER  
ELEVATIONS.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.  
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 31 MPH  
INCREASING TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 22 TO 31 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 36 MPH  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON, THEN  
DECREASING TO AROUND 24 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........52 56 60 65 69 62 69 67 69 67 72 74 74  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............45 46 48 51 53 55 58 59 60 60 60 60 60  
RH..............70 71 68 66 69 66 60 60 58 60 60 62 64  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 10 10 11 12 13 13 13 13 13 12 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 20 22 23 24 25 25 26 26 25 25 26  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.8 0.7 1.5 2.0 2.2 2.5 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.4 2.6 1.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S SE S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 22 23 29 31 33 33 36 36 33 30 28 24  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 15  
MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 41 MPH. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER  
3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 26 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 32 MPH  
LATE IN THE EVENING.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.30 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM  
SKY (%).........76 74 63 59 66 65 50 46 42 49 59 68  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC SCH SCH CHC LKY DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH  
TEMP............58 59 59 59 59 59 59 59 59 60 55 53  
RH..............75 72 75 75 78 75 78 78 78 75 86 89  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 13 13 14 14 14 15 15 15 14 14  
20 FT WIND GUST.26 29 30 31 32 32 33 33 33 33 31 30  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 2.3 2.4 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 18 20 23 26 29 30 31 31 32 29 24  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS IN  
THE MORNING, THEN SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.  
MIN HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 28  
MPH INCREASING TO 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 25 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 30 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.71 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........77 92 93 93 93 93 93 92 92 91 89 88  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............52 46 45 45 44 41 38 36 35 33 31 29  
RH..............89 93 96 93 89 89 92 92 85 85 85 81  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 8 8 8 9 10 10 11 12 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.28 23 19 18 18 18 18 18 19 20 22 25  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 1.8 1.5 1.5 1.7 2.0 2.5 3.2 3.8 4.4 4.5 4.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.23 21 17 15 16 18 22 24 26 28 29 30  
 
 
FORECASTER...JEANIE MCDERMOTT  
REQUESTED BY...DE GRAAF  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2604953.4/MRX  
.DELDT 03/15/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JORDAN.DEGRAAF@USDA.GOV  
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