507
FNUS74 KMRX 152311
FWSMRX
SPOT FORECAST FOR HANCOCK-BIG SPRINGS RD...TDF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
711 PM EDT SUN MAR 15 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1900 EDT ON MARCH 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM EDT
MONDAY...
DISCUSSION
A STRONG COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE BURN SITE DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF MONDAY
MORNING. CURRENT TIMING SUGGESTS THE LINE OF STORMS WILL PUSH THROUGH
THE BURN SITE SOMETIME BETWEEN 5AM AND 7AM EDT MONDAY MORNING. AS FOR
RAIN, WHILE SOME SHOWERS COULD FORM OUT AHEAD OF THE LINE, ALMOST ALL
OF THE RAIN SHOULD OCCUR WITH THE STORMS ALONG THE COLD FRONT. AHEAD
OF THE LINE, STRONG AND GUSTY NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS WILL CONTINUE
OUT OF THE SOUTH. WIND GUSTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE STORMS ALONG THE
COLD FRONT COULD BE QUITE STRONG, WITH GUSTS WELL ABOVE 60 MPH
POSSIBLE IF A STRONGER CELL AFFECTS THE BURN SITE. EXPECT A STARK
WIND SHIFT WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT, SWITCHING FROM SOUTH OR
SOUTHWESTERLY, TO WESTERLY, WHILE REMAINING GUSTY INTO THE 20 TO 25
MPH RANGE.
ADDITIONALLY, THIS STRONG FRONT WILL BRING MUCH COLDER AIR TO THE REGION
WITH SOME LIGHT SNOW POSSIBLE ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE SYSTEM MONDAY.
HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR THE CALENDAR DAY MONDAY WILL BE JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT, WITH TEMPERATURES HOLDING STEADY OR POSSIBLY FALLING DURING THE
DAY TOMORROW.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 3 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST 15 TO 16 MPH AFTER 3 AM. GUSTS UP TO
29 MPH.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.59 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM
SKY (%).........83 83 78 81 79 69 50 53 53 58 86 89 93
WEATHER COV..... CHC DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
TEMP............67 64 63 61 61 60 59 58 58 58 58 54 50
RH..............53 59 65 71 73 73 78 77 77 77 77 90 100
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..17 16 17 17 17 17 16 15 15 16 16 15 15
20 FT WIND GUST.23 21 22 21 22 22 22 20 22 23 22 22 22
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS IN
THE MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS
LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 23
MPH.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.32 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........95 90 91 92 93 88 91 80 87 78 86 67
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF LKY CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY CHC SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RS SW SW SW SW
TSTM COV........
TEMP............48 49 50 45 44 42 38 38 37 37 35 34
RH..............100 89 80 86 76 76 79 73 67 61 61 58
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..15 14 13 14 13 13 14 14 15 16 17 18
20 FT WIND GUST.22 21 19 20 21 20 20 21 21 21 22 23
FORECASTER...CHARLES DALTON
REQUESTED BY...FRC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2605863.0/MRX
.DELDT 03/15/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ANGELA.WILKERSON@TN.GOV
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