447  
FNUS74 KMRX 161008  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TN-CNF CEDAR GAP RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
608 AM EDT MON MAR 16 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0730 EDT ON MARCH 16.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
..HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING. STRONG  
GUSTY NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE MOUNTAINS AND  
FOOTHILLS, WITH GUSTY NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS IN THE VALLEY THROUGH  
MONDAY MORNING AS WELL. LIGHT SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THE BACK SIDE  
OF THE SYSTEM MONDAY, ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING,  
THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW  
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.  
MIN HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
WEST 8 TO 13 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 31 MPH. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY  
IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 24 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 30 TO  
32 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.78 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........70 79 88 88 91 91 91 92 89 92 91 91 91  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY DEF LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW SW SW SW SW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH  
TEMP............53 53 53 50 47 45 42 39 37 35 33 31 30  
RH..............93 77 89 96 100 100 100 96 96 92 89 85 81  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..11 10 9 8 8 8 8 9 10 11 11 12 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.25 24 22 19 18 18 18 18 19 20 20 22 25  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 2.0 1.2 1.4 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.7 2.1 2.5 3.4 3.3 3.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.24 20 21 18 16 18 17 18 20 22 26 30 32  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW  
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SNOW SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 17.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 29  
MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 26 TO 35 MPH DECREASING TO 18 TO 24 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.04 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM  
SKY (%).........84 89 86 87 89 90 89 86 89 81 79 80  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............28 27 25 23 22 21 21 20 19 19 18 18  
RH..............78 74 74 74 77 77 74 77 77 77 77 77  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..14 15 15 15 15 14 13 12 11 11 10 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.26 29 29 29 29 28 26 25 24 22 22 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.3 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.6 3.5 3.3 3.3 3.1 3.1 3.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W NW NW NW W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.32 33 33 35 30 29 28 26 24 23 20 18  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 28.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 21  
MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 28 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 31 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST  
AROUND 18 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........81 79 77 75 70 64 59 52 46 39 31 23  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............18 17 19 21 23 25 26 27 28 28 27 26  
RH..............77 84 77 71 62 57 52 50 46 46 46 48  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 10 9 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.19 21 21 20 20 21 21 21 20 19 18 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.1 3.3 3.6 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.4 5.6 5.6 5.3 4.3 3.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 23 24 24 25 26 28 30 31 30 25 18  
 
 
FORECASTER...JEANIE MCDERMOTT  
REQUESTED BY...DE GRAAF  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2604953.5/MRX  
.DELDT 03/16/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JORDAN.DEGRAAF@USDA.GOV  
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