403
FNUS74 KMRX 161317
FWSMRX
SPOT FORECAST FOR CHEROKEE DAYS...USDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
917 AM EDT MON MAR 16 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MARCH 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.
DISCUSSION
LIGHT RAIN WILL CONTINUE IN THE AREA THIS MORNING, AS BREEZY WINDS
WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST BEHIND A DEPARTING
FRONT. A BRIEF DRY PERIOD IS POSSIBLE BEFORE AN ADDITIONAL BOUT OF
MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO BRING MORE RAIN OR POTENTIALLY RAIN/SNOW
MIX AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL
GRADUALLY FALL THROUGH THE DAY AS STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION SETUP
TAKES PLACE.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 32 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.55 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........84 89 92 92 90 91 92 92 93 84
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW SW SW SW SW
TSTM COV........SCH
TEMP............52 49 47 44 41 38 36 34 32 31
RH..............100 100 100 96 92 95 96 92 84 81
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 8 8 8 9 9 10 11
20 FT WIND GUST.18 17 18 18 18 18 18 19 22 25
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 2.1 2.3 2.3 2.6 3.1 3.5 4.2 4.1 3.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 17 20 17 20 20 21 23 28 32
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 20.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 23 TO 32 MPH DECREASING TO 14 TO 20 MPH
AFTER 3 AM.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.01 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM
SKY (%).........88 88 86 86 90 88 88 90 87 75 81 82
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....SW SW SW SW SW SW
TSTM COV........
TEMP............30 29 28 26 25 24 24 23 22 22 21 21
RH..............72 72 71 71 71 71 68 74 77 74 74 77
20 FT WIND DIR..NW W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..11 12 12 12 12 11 11 10 9 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.26 29 30 29 29 28 26 25 23 22 21 19
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.5 4.3 4.2 4.4 4.4 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.1 3.9 3.7 3.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W NW NW W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.31 32 31 31 28 26 25 25 23 20 16 14
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
AROUND 17 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........82 79 75 71 65 58 52 47 42 37 29 22
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............21 20 22 25 27 29 30 32 32 32 31 30
RH..............77 81 77 68 63 55 51 47 45 45 45 44
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 8 6
20 FT WIND GUST.18 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 19 18 17 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.8 4.0 4.4 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.3 6.5 6.5 6.1 5.0 3.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 21 23 24 25 26 28 29 28 26 22 17
FORECASTER...KYLE SNOWDIN
REQUESTED BY...ANDREW GAVIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2605906.0/MRX
.DELDT 03/16/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ANDREW.GAVIN@USDA.GOV
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