443  
FXUS64 KMRX 172308 AAA  
AFDMRX  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
708 PM EDT TUE MAR 17 2026  
   
..NEW AVIATION
 
 
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
UPDATED AT 707 PM EDT TUE MAR 17 2026  
 
- LIGHT SNOW ACROSS NORTHEAST TN AND SOUTHWEST VA CONTINUES THROUGH  
THE AFTERNOON HOURS.  
 
- COLD WEATHER TO CONTINUE TODAY THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING BEFORE A  
GRADUAL WARMING TREND OCCURS AND RETURNS THE REGION TO WARM  
WEATHER BY THE WEEKEND. MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS MIDWEEK THROUGH  
THE WEEKEND.  
 

 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ISSUED AT 135 PM EDT TUE MAR 17 2026  
 
CURRENTLY SOME LIGHT ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS GOING ON ACROSS NORTHEAST  
TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AS COLD AIR CONTINUES TO SQUEEZE  
OUT MOISTURE FROM THE LOW LEVEL CLOUDS. EXPECT TO SEE ON/OFF SNOW  
SHOWERS INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS, BUT WITH MORE AND MORE SUN PEAKING  
THROUGH IT'S GOING TO BE DIFFICULT TO SEE ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS  
OUTSIDE OF THE MOUNTAINS. ANOTHER COLD NIGHT WITH CONTINUED COLD AIR  
FUNNELING IN AT THE LOWER LEVELS WILL LEAD TO WIDESPREAD SUB-  
FREEZING TEMPERATURES AND DROPPING INTO THE TEENS ACROSS SOUTHWEST  
VIRGINIA. SKIES BEGIN TO CLEAR OUT ON WEDNESDAY AND WARMER AIR  
ADVECTS IN FROM THE SOUTH.  
 
WE'LL SEE A WARMING TREND THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK AS GENERALLY  
INCREASING HEIGHTS THROUGH THE MID LEVELS BEGINS TO BUILD IN. SOME  
MODELS TRY AND BRING IN A WEAK FRONTAL PASSAGE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY  
WHICH DOESN'T IMPACT TEMPERATURES TOO MUCH, BUT COULD BRING A QUICK  
SHOT OF RAIN TO THE REGION. A MORE PRONOUNCED COOLDOWN LOOKS TO  
ARRIVE HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK DROPPING TEMPERATURES BACK TO NEAR  
NORMAL.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
(00Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 707 PM EDT TUE MAR 17 2026  
 
VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD, WITH LIGHT WINDS.  
MIDLEVEL CLOUDS TONIGHT WILL LOWER CLOSER TO 5 KFT TOMORROW, BUT  
REMAIN VFR. WINDS AROUND 10 KT FROM THE W THIS EVENING WILL  
DECREASE SHORTLY AND BECOME S-SW TOMORROW.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN 30 55 35 68 / 10 10 0 0  
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN 26 50 33 63 / 10 10 0 10  
OAK RIDGE, TN 25 50 33 62 / 10 10 0 10  
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN 19 46 30 57 / 10 10 0 10  
 

 
   
MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NC...NONE.  
TN...NONE.  
VA...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
DISCUSSION...99  
AVIATION...DGS  
 
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