715  
FNUS74 KMRX 191000  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR THE CEDARS - WARNER - RX FIRE...VIRGINIA DEPARTMENT OF CONSERVATION AND  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
600 AM EDT THU MAR 19 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON MARCH 19.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
WARMING TREND TO CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND WITH THE WARMEST WEATHER  
ON SUNDAY. ONLY LOW CHANCES FOR RAIN OVER THE NEXT WEEK. A COLD  
FRONT ON MONDAY TO COOL TEMPERATURES BACK DOWN INTO SEASONABLE LATE  
MARCH WEATHER.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........79 77 84 79 79 67 56 57 38 45 39 29  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............30 33 39 44 50 53 56 59 59 59 60 58  
RH..............88 82 73 62 52 50 47 44 45 47 46 51  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 4 5 6 6 6 7 6 6 6 5 4  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.8 1.4 1.7 2.1 2.5 3.1 3.5 3.8 3.9 3.1 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W SW SW SW SW W W W W SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 10 10 9 8 7 8 9 9 7 5  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 6 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM  
SKY (%).........17 8 8 6 7 8 18 14 29 41 35 46  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............54 49 46 44 42 40 39 38 37 36 35 35  
RH..............61 71 79 86 89 92 92 92 96 100 100 96  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S SE SE S SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 3 5 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 15  
TO 23 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........52 45 43 41 47 52 58 61 63 66 66 65  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............34 37 43 51 57 61 65 67 68 68 67 65  
RH..............100 96 86 74 64 58 50 49 47 49 50 56  
20 FT WIND DIR..N E SE S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 1 2 2 3 4 5 6 6 6 6 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 4 5 6 7 10 11 12 11 11 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.8 1.2 1.8 2.5 3.2 3.7 4.0 4.1 3.8 2.9 1.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 7 10 14 18 21 23 23 22 18 15  
 

 
FORECASTER...JEANIE MCDERMOTT  
REQUESTED BY...LAURA YOUNG  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2606473.0/MRX  
.DELDT 03/19/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL LAURA.YOUNG@DCR.VIRGINIA.GOV  
 
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