308  
FNUS74 KMRX 191538  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR THE CEDARS - WARNER -RX FIRE UPDATE...VIRGINIA DEPARTMENT OF CONSERVATION AND  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
1138 AM EDT THU MAR 19 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON MARCH 19.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
WARMING TREND TO CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND WITH THE WARMEST WEATHER  
ON SUNDAY. ONLY LOW CHANCES FOR RAIN OVER THE NEXT WEEK. A COLD  
FRONT ON MONDAY TO COOL TEMPERATURES BACK DOWN INTO SEASONABLE LATE  
MARCH WEATHER.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 8 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........58 56 60 71 55 41 12 9  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............49 54 57 59 60 61 60 59  
RH..............52 45 42 40 39 39 41 42  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW N  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 2 2 2 1 1 0  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 7 6 6 6 5 4  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 2.5 3.1 3.5 3.8 3.9 3.1 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W SW W W W W SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 7 8 8 7 6 5  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.  
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM  
SKY (%).........16 12 8 4 5 7 10 16 21 23 23 27  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............55 49 46 44 43 41 40 38 38 37 37 36  
RH..............51 68 76 82 79 89 89 92 92 96 92 96  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW S S SE S S S S S SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 5 3 5 6 6 6 5 5 6 6  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 17 TO  
23 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON, THEN  
DECREASING TO AROUND 13 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........37 38 35 43 63 63 72 71 58 76 74 53  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............36 40 47 53 59 62 65 67 67 69 67 67  
RH..............96 89 72 61 51 48 45 42 42 42 43 47  
20 FT WIND DIR..N E S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 1 2 2 4 5 6 7 7 7 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 4 6 6 10 11 12 12 13 12 13 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.7 1.4 2.0 2.6 3.1 3.5 3.9 4.2 4.5 3.4 1.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 8 12 17 18 20 22 22 23 21 13  
 
 
FORECASTER...ANDREW MOULTON  
REQUESTED BY...LAURA YOUNG  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2606567.0/MRX  
.DELDT 03/19/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL LAURA.YOUNG@DCR.VIRGINIA.GOV  
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