876  
FNUS74 KMRX 200833  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR COON CREEK...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
433 AM EDT FRI MAR 20 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0500 EDT ON MARCH 20.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DRY TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS THIS MORNING  
EVENTUALLY POSITIONING OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.  
MINIMUM RH IN THE 30 PERCENT RANGE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM  
CHANCES INCREASE FOR MIDDLE OF THE DAY SATURDAY.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 17  
TO 21 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........3 3 2 4 15 17 30 43 38 39 34 36  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............44 43 42 45 54 61 65 67 70 71 72 73  
RH..............73 76 82 76 57 48 43 40 38 35 34 34  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SE S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 2 2 4 6 6 6 7 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 6 10 10 10 12 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.9 2.6 3.2 3.5 3.9 4.1 4.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 6 7 8 13 17 18 20 21 21 21  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10  
MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........33 42 23 20 25 43 48 49 35 37 36 33  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............71 70 67 63 61 60 60 59 58 58 57 57  
RH..............35 36 43 48 53 60 64 67 69 69 72 75  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 6 7 8 10 11 11 11 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 14 13 13 14 14 14 14 14 13 13 10  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 3 4 5 5 5 5 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 7 7 7 7 8 10 10 11 11 11 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.6 2.3 2.9 3.5 4.2 4.7 4.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 9 10 12 12 12 12 12 13 14 14  
 

 
FORECASTER...KERRIE SIMMONS  
REQUESTED BY...MATT DERSTINE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2606613.1/MRX  
.DELDT 03/20/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BRIAN.MATOY@USDA.GOV,CNFSOUTHZONEFIRE@GMAIL.COM,CHARLES.DANIELS@USDA.GOV,MATTHEW.DERSTINE@USDA.GOV  
 
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