326
FNUS74 KMRX 201957
FWSMRX
SPOT FORECAST FOR ELBOW CREEK RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
357 PM EDT FRI MAR 20 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.
DISCUSSION
FOR SATURDAY, WINDS WILL BE WESTERLY WITH RH'S STAYING IN THE 40S.
SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE LATE AFTERNOON TO THE EVENING
HOURS WITH POTENTIAL FOR HAIL. SUNDAY WILL SEE A BREEZY SOUTHWESTERLY
WIND AGAIN WITH GUSTS OF 20 TO 30 MPH.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 4 TO 8 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 15 MPH.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.05 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........40 42 42 33 27 29 30
WEATHER COV..... CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW
TSTM COV........ CHC
TEMP............66 69 73 75 77 78 79
RH..............68 59 49 46 43 40 39
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..3 4 4 5 5 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10 11 11 12 12 12 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 2.6 3.1 3.7 3.8 3.9 3.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 13 13 14 15
SATURDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.03 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........32 20 19 28 29 30 30 31 31 28 25 22
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP............77 75 72 67 64 63 62 61 60 59 58 58
RH..............42 48 55 63 70 75 78 81 84 87 90 90
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W SW S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..5 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1
20 FT WIND GUST.13 12 11 10 10 10 8 8 7 7 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 1.2 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 10 10 10 10 9 8 8 7 7 7 7
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 21
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........22 21 21 19 16 14 12 9 7 10 12 15
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............57 56 57 61 65 70 74 77 79 81 82 82
RH..............93 96 93 84 75 66 57 47 42 38 37 35
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 7 10 10 12 13 14 14 16 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.4 2.1 2.9 3.6 4.2 4.8 5.0 4.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 6 6 7 8 9 10 13 16 20 21
FORECASTER...DOUG SCHNEIDER
REQUESTED BY...DREW FORD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2606854.0/MRX
.DELDT 03/20/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DREW.FORD@USDA.GOV
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