051
FNUS74 KMRX 210740
FWSMRX
SPOT FORECAST FOR T-47 INDIAN BOUNDARY...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
340 AM EDT SAT MAR 21 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0500 EDT ON MARCH 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.
DISCUSSION
DRY THIS MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON, UNTIL A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS INCREASES FOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
SOME STORMS COULD REACH SEVERE LIMITS TONIGHT, WITH THE MAIN
THREAT BEING LARGE HAIL. WEATHER WILL DRY OUT IN THE AREA OF THE
BURN AROUND THE EARLY HOURS SUNDAY, AND CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
TO BE DRY THE REST OF THE DAY. WIND DIRECTION WILL VARY FROM THE
SOUTH, SOUTHWEST, OR WEST THROUGH SUNDAY. MINIMUM RH TODAY AND
SUNDAY WILL BE IN THE 30 PERCENT RANGE.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 5AM
SKY (%).........52
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............59
RH..............64
20 FT WIND DIR..S
20 FT WIND SPD..5
20 FT WIND GUST.13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.13
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 12
TO 17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........48 43 53 49 34 36 32 25 24 32 36 44
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH
TEMP............59 58 59 60 64 68 72 74 77 78 79 79
RH..............67 69 69 72 65 59 51 46 42 40 38 38
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW SW W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..5 4 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 10 10 10 10 11 11 12 12 13 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.7 1.9 2.6 3.0 3.5 3.9 4.4 4.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 10 12 14 12 12 13 14 16 17 17
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 16 MPH.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.15 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........26 40 40 38 37 39 31 36 33 20 34 33
WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH CHC SCH CHC SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH CHC SCH CHC SCH SCH SCH
TEMP............77 75 72 69 68 67 66 65 64 64 63 63
RH..............39 43 49 57 59 63 68 73 75 75 78 78
20 FT WIND DIR..W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S
20 FT WIND SPD..4 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
20 FT WIND GUST.11 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 10 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 1.3 1.0 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 14 13 12 13 13 14 14 13 13 14 14
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 17 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 24
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.01 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........28 25 25 21 17 12 12 11 11 13 14 16
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............63 61 63 64 68 72 75 78 80 82 82 82
RH..............78 87 81 75 65 55 48 42 38 34 33 33
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 4 4 5 6 6 6 6 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 11 12 13 14 14 16 17 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 0.6 1.0 1.8 2.8 3.6 4.2 4.7 5.1 5.2 4.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 12 10 12 13 14 16 18 21 23 24
FORECASTER...KERRIE SIMMONS
REQUESTED BY...CODY DANIELS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2606914.0/MRX
.DELDT 03/21/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BRIAN.MATOY@USDA.GOV,CHARLES.DANIELS@USDA.GOV,CNFSOUTHZONEFIRE@GMAIL.COM
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