698  
FNUS74 KMRX 220951  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ELBOW CREEK RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
551 AM EDT SUN MAR 22 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON MARCH 22.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DRY WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. A WIND SHIFT WILL  
OCCUR FOLLOWING A WEAK COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE MONDAY MORNING.  
CURRENT SOUTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL EVENTUALLY TURN NORTHERLY.  
WINDS COULD GUST TO NEAR 20 MPH THROUGH THE FORECAST TIME PERIOD.  
MINIMUM RH WILL BE AROUND THE MID 30S PERCENT BOTH DAYS.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 20  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........22 21 18 14 14 17 18 12 7 3 4 9  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............59 58 57 59 65 69 73 76 79 80 81 82  
RH..............78 83 86 80 65 61 51 46 41 39 37 35  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 2 2 4 5 5 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 7 8 10 12 13 16 17 17 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 1.7 2.5 3.1 3.9 4.3 4.8 5.2 5.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 6 8 10 12 15 16 18 20 20  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.  
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 17 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 18 MPH OVERNIGHT SHIFTING TO  
THE WEST WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 17 MPH EARLY IN  
THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........4 14 14 12 17 13 15 16 16 27 63 64  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............80 79 76 71 69 67 65 64 63 63 63 62  
RH..............36 38 42 49 53 56 60 63 67 65 65 67  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW S S S S S SW W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17 18 16 14 16 17 17 18 18 18 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.6 1.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 15 12 10 10 10 12 12 12 14 13 12  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 6 TO 7 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 16 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 16 TO  
21 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........56 72 82 83 80 76 62 48 34 31 29 26  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............61 60 59 61 62 63 64 66 67 67 68 67  
RH..............70 78 83 78 72 70 65 56 50 45 40 37  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W NW NW N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 14 14 14 14 16 16 16 16 16 16 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.8 1.0 1.6 1.8 1.9 2.3 2.7 3.0 3.3 3.3 3.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W NW N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 13 13 15 16 16 17 18 20 21 21 21  
 

 
FORECASTER...KERRIE SIMMONS  
REQUESTED BY...DREW FORD  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2606854.2/MRX  
.DELDT 03/22/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DREW.FORD@USDA.GOV  
 
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