309  
FNUS74 KMRX 230823  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR COON CREEK...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
423 AM EDT MON MAR 23 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0500 EDT ON MARCH 23.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A WEAK/DRY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA LATER THIS MORNING. A  
WIND SHIFT WILL FOLLOW. FLOW WILL TURN OUT OF THE NORTH AND  
NORTHEAST TODAY AND TONIGHT. DRIER BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WHERE  
MINIMUM RH TODAY WILL BE NEAR 30 PERCENT. WINDS COULD GUST TO  
NEAR 20 MPH THROUGH TONIGHT.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.  
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 16  
MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 6 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS  
TO AROUND 19 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 18 TO  
22 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........66 84 76 68 77 80 70 59 39 26 8 6  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............63 63 62 60 62 62 63 63 65 65 65 65  
RH..............70 70 75 78 70 62 56 52 45 40 35 31  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW W W NW N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 14 14 16 18 18 18 18 19 18 18 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.2 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.4 2.9 3.1 3.3 3.6 3.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 12 15 18 20 22 21 21 20 20 21 22  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.  
MAX HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
18 MPH IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 23 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10  
MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........5 12 24 27 29 36 50 51 52 46 57 54  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............62 59 55 52 50 48 47 46 45 44 43 41  
RH..............32 33 37 39 39 42 44 43 45 47 49 53  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 4 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 18 18 18 18 18 16 14 13 12 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.3 2.5 0.6 0.7 1.0 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.23 23 17 17 18 18 18 18 18 15 15 10  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 5  
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE E E E SE S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 8 7 6 6 6 6 7 8 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.2 0.1 0.7 1.1 1.5 2.1 2.7 3.1 3.2 3.0 2.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE E E E SE SE S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 6 7 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
 

 
FORECASTER...KERRIE SIMMONS  
REQUESTED BY...MATT DERSTINE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2606613.4/MRX  
.DELDT 03/23/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BRIAN.MATOY@USDA.GOV,CHARLES.DANIELS@USDA.GOV,CNFSOUTHZONEFIRE@GMAIL.COM,MATTHEW.DERSTINE@USDA.GOV  
 
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