745  
FNUS74 KMRX 230928  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BACK VALLEY RX...TWRA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
528 AM EDT MON MAR 23 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MARCH 23.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A WEAK/DRY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. FLOW  
WILL BE OUT OF THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST TODAY AND TONIGHT. WINDS  
COULD GUST TO NEAR 21 MPH AROUND THE TIME OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.  
DRIER BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WHERE MINIMUM RH TODAY WILL BE NEAR 30  
PERCENT. POSSIBLY MUCH DRIER AIR ON TUESDAY WHERE MINIMUM RH  
COULD FALL JUST BELOW 20 PERCENT, BUT WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 21  
MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 23 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........79 68 51 28 9 17 12 4  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............54 55 56 57 60 60 60 60  
RH..............71 61 55 49 39 35 32 31  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 8 8 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.21 19 19 18 16 17 16 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 2.4 2.8 3.0 3.4 3.8 4.1 4.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.23 23 23 22 20 20 20 20  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.  
MAX HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 16  
MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 10 TO  
12 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........10 9 18 27 20 40 38 47 44 50 59 84  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............58 55 52 49 48 45 44 43 42 41 40 39  
RH..............32 34 39 42 44 49 49 53 55 55 57 59  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 14 14 14 14 13 13 12 12 11 11 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.0 2.5 1.4 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.0 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N NE NE NE NE E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 17 14 13 14 13 13 12 10 10 10 12  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
AROUND 3 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........81 80 75 66 64 62 61 61 60 57 53 50  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............39 39 38 40 43 47 52 56 59 61 62 62  
RH..............59 59 62 55 45 35 28 23 20 19 19 20  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E E SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 8 8 7 6 6 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 1.0 0.9 1.3 1.5 1.7 2.1 2.5 2.8 3.0 3.0 2.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 9 12 10 7 6 5 3 3 3 3  
 
 
FORECASTER...KERRIE SIMMONS  
REQUESTED BY...DUSTIN MCCUBBINS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2607173.0/MRX  
.DELDT 03/23/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DUSTIN.J.MCCUBBINS@TN.GOV  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab TN Page
The Nexlab VA Page
The Nexlab NC Page
Main Text Page