523  
FNUS74 KMRX 231153  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BEARPAW1 PLANNING SPOT...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
753 AM EDT MON MAR 23 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 23.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A WEAK/DRY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. FLOW  
WILL BECOME NORTH AND NORTHWEST TODAY AND TONIGHT. WINDS COULD  
GUST TO NEAR 18 MPH AROUND THE TIME OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. DRIER  
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WHERE MINIMUM RH TODAY WILL BE CLOSE TO 30  
PERCENT. POSSIBLY MUCH DRIER AIR ON TUESDAY WHERE MINIMUM RH COULD  
FALL JUST BELOW 20 PERCENT, BUT WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.  
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
18 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 21 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........69 64 33 18 18 9 2  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............62 62 63 66 65 65 64  
RH..............65 62 54 45 41 35 33  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 8 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 18 17 16 17 17 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 2.4 2.8 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 21 21 21 20 21 21  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.  
MAX HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 16  
MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 10 MPH  
LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST  
AFTER 3 AM.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........5 23 19 23 38 36 50 50 52 41 63 59  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............62 58 54 52 49 47 45 44 43 41 41 40  
RH..............32 34 40 41 44 47 49 51 53 55 55 59  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NW NW NW NW W W W NE E  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 6 6 5 5 4 3 2 2 2 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 16 14 13 11 10 8 6 6 6 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 2.2 1.1 1.3 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N NE E NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 14 14 12 10 8 8 7 6 5 5  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........49 50 62 64 67 70 69 67 66 66 65 65  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............39 39 38 40 45 51 55 59 61 63 64 63  
RH..............59 59 64 62 47 34 29 25 22 20 18 19  
20 FT WIND DIR..E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 1 2 3 3 4 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.4 1.1 1.6 2.1 2.7 3.2 3.5 3.4 3.1 2.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 6 6 6  
 

 
FORECASTER...KERRIE SIMMONS  
REQUESTED BY...DREW FORD  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2607221.0/MRX  
.DELDT 03/23/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DREW.FORD@USDA.GOV  
 
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