731  
FNUS74 KMRX 231631  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BRUSH CREEK RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
1231 PM EDT MON MAR 23 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON MARCH 24.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
 
NOTE FROM FORECASTER: SAW THE REMARK ABOUT NOT CLICKING THE  
PARAMETERS ON THE LAST REQUEST. YOU USED A TIMEFRAME STARTING A  
FULL 24 HOURS LATER ON THIS SECOND REQUEST, BUT SINCE ITS THE SAME  
LOCATION I JUST COMBINED THE TWO REQUESTS AND MADE SURE THE  
PARAMETERS ARE ALL PRESENT.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
TOMORROW'S WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO BE MIX OF SUN AND HIGH CLOUDS  
WITH SIGNIFICANTLY LOW AFTERNOON RH VALUES (LOW 20S%) AS A VERY  
DRY BUT COOL AIRMASS CONTINUES TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION. LIGHT  
EASTERLY WINDS DURING THE DAY, THOUGH LOCAL TERRAIN MAY DOMINATE  
THE WIND DIRECTION SINCE THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC WIND FIELD IS SO  
LIGHT. ANY GUST IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE STRONG WITH WINDS AT THE TOP  
OF THE MIXING LAYER FORECAST TO BE AROUND 5 KNOTS.  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN  
THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST LATE  
IN THE MORNING.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........67 58 52 63 58 53 57 61 65 62 60 57  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............37 36 36 38 42 47 52 56 59 60 61 61  
RH..............66 66 65 60 49 37 30 25 21 20 20 21  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE E E E E E E E SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 4 4 4 5 5 4 4 4 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 8 8 8 8 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.1 0.1 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.9 2.3 2.7 3.1 3.2 3.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 8 8  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.  
MAX HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN  
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 14 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........57 58 59 59 58 58 57 57 56 55 54 53  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............59 57 55 53 50 48 47 46 45 44 44 43  
RH..............24 26 30 33 37 41 44 45 47 49 51 54  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 11 12 13 14 14 14 14 13 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 7 8 10 13 14 14 14 14 13 12  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.  
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........51 49 47 46 44 43 46 49 52 54 56 58  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............42 41 41 44 48 53 57 60 62 64 64 64  
RH..............56 61 62 55 47 41 35 33 32 31 34 35  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 11 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.3 2.3 3.2 3.9 4.1 3.8 3.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 10 9 8 7 7 7 7 8 8 9  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.  
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........58 60 60 58 55 52 48 43 39 33 28 22  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............63 61 59 57 55 53 52 51 50 49 48 48  
RH..............38 41 48 53 57 63 66 67 73 76 77 79  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 10 9 8 8 8 8 8 7 6  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN  
THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 9 TO 16  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........23 25 26 29 32 35 31 27 23 23 22 22  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............47 46 48 51 57 62 66 70 73 75 75 75  
RH..............81 88 85 83 72 64 56 49 45 42 43 43  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SW SW W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 8 8 10 10 11 13 14 14 14 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.8 2.4 3.0 3.4 3.6 3.4 3.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SW W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 7 9 12 13 14 14 15 16 15  
 
 
FORECASTER...NATHAN WELLINGTON  
REQUESTED BY...MAXWELL WHITE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2607315.0/MRX  
.DELDT 03/23/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MAXWELL.WHITE@USDA.GOV  
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