512
FXUS64 KMRX 232344
AFDMRX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
744 PM EDT MON MAR 23 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 740 PM EDT MON MAR 23 2026
- DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS THROUGH WEDNESDAY, FOLLOWED BY A WARMING
TREND AND RETURNING LIGHT RAIN CHANCES LATE IN THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 211 PM EDT MON MAR 23 2026
BEAUTIFUL LATE MARCH WEATHER ON TAP THIS WEEK, WITH THE POST FRONTAL
AIRMASS YIELDING PLEASANT AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES THROUGH WEDNESDAY,
WITH MORNING LOWS TRENDING UPWARDS THROUGH THE WEEK. WITH THE FRONT
THROUGH THE AREA, THE COOLER AND SIGNIFICANTLY DRIER AIR WILL HANG
AROUND FOR A COUPLE OF DAYS BEFORE RETURN FLOW BEGINS ON WEDNESDAY
AND THEN STRENGTHENS ON THURSDAY.
NBM DROPPED THE RAIN CHANCES FOR TOMORROW NIGHT, VIRGA IS THE MOST
LIKELY SOLUTION AS THE DRY LOW LEVEL AIRMASS EATS AT ANY ATTEMPTED
PRECIPITATION. THURSDAY IS LIKELY THE WARMEST DAY OF THE WORK WEEK
WITH BREEZY CONDITIONS. ANOTHER WEAK COLD FRONT TO PASS ON
FRIDAY, WITH LIGHT RAIN AGAIN POSSIBLE. BEHIND THE FRONT HEADING
INTO THE WEEKEND IS ANOTHER BOUT OF MILD AND DRY, WITH COOL
TEMPERATURES IN THE MORNING. AS WE HEAD DEEPER INTO SPRING WITH
CONTINUED FLOWERING, BE WARY OF MORNING FROST/FREEZE CONDITIONS.
NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IMPACTS OTHERWISE EXPECTED.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 740 PM EDT MON MAR 23 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WITH SCT/BKN HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS AROUND FOR A
MAJORITY OF THE PERIOD. BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS AROUND 10-15KTS
WILL LINGER TONIGHT AT CHA/TYS, WITH WINDS VEERING MORE NELY AND
LESS THAN 10KTS FOR TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN 43 68 46 67 / 0 0 10 0
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN 40 64 42 69 / 0 0 10 10
OAK RIDGE, TN 40 64 42 69 / 0 0 10 0
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN 34 62 37 67 / 0 0 10 0
MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...WELLINGTON
AVIATION...KRS
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