174  
FNUS74 KMRX 240823  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR COON CREEK...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
423 AM EDT TUE MAR 24 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0500 EDT ON MARCH 24.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
   
..VERY LOW RH TODAY, HOWEVER, WINDS WILL BE LIGHT  
 
DRY WEATHER IS FORECAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WINDS EXPECTED TO BE  
LIGHT. N-NE FLOW THIS MORNING WILL BECOME VARIABLE IN DIRECTION  
BEFORE TURNING OUT OF THE S AND SE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. LOW  
MINIMUM RH EXPECTED TODAY WITH SOME IMPROVEMENT WEDNESDAY  
AFTERNOON.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.  
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST LATE  
IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
3 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........72 81 72 55 58 31 16 6 3 4 5 7  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............42 42 40 43 49 53 57 60 64 65 65 67  
RH..............53 53 59 53 44 38 33 28 23 23 23 22  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE E SW W W W SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 8 8 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.9 1.7 2.3 3.1 3.4 3.9 4.2 4.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE N NE E E E SW SW S S SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 8 7 3 5 3 3 3 5 6 5  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.  
MAX HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
6 TO 13 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........7 21 48 44 55 52 44 64 66 47 61 68  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............65 64 60 56 53 52 50 49 49 48 47 45  
RH..............23 24 31 34 38 39 42 42 40 44 47 49  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW S SE SE E SE SE E SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 6 6 7 7 8 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.0 2.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 3 3 6 7 9 12 13 13 13 13 12  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 2 2 3 4 4 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 8 8 8 8 10 10 10 11 11 11 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.6 2.2 2.9 3.4 3.7 3.7 3.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE S S S S SW SW S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 9 10 12  
 
 
FORECASTER...KERRIE SIMMONS  
REQUESTED BY...MATT DERSTINE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2606613.5/MRX  
.DELDT 03/24/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MATTHEW.DERSTINE@USDA.GOV,CNFSOUTHZONEFIRE@GMAIL.COM,BRIAN.MATOY@USDA.GOV,CHARLES.DANIELS@USDA.GOV  
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