652  
FNUS74 KMRX 271803  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR DRY ROCK INCIDENT...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
203 PM EDT FRI MAR 27 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1400 EDT ON MARCH 27.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
 
BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT THIS  
AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS MOVE IN LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND  
EVENING. THE CHANCES FOR AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ARE EXTREMELY  
LOW, MOSTLY RAIN IS EXPECTED. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL VARY,  
WITH AMOUNTS RANGING ANYWHERE FROM A FEW TENTHS OF AN INCH UP TO  
0.5 INCHES. PRECIP ENDS BEFORE MIDNIGHT. WINDS SHIFT OUT OF THE  
NORTH BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.  
 
NEAR FREEZING TEMPERATURES LATE TONIGHT AND INTO TOMORROW MORNING WITH  
WIND CHILL VALUES IN THE 20S.  
 
 
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.  
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).WEST WINDS 10 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST AROUND 11 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........67 79 79 90  
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC LKY DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............76 76 75 70  
RH..............54 54 52 57  
SURFACE WND DIR.W W W NW  
SURFACE WND SPD.10 10 11 11  
SURFACE WND GST.20 20 21 20  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS IN  
THE EVENING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.  
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).NORTH WINDS 10 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
23 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........92 95 96 96 96 85 79 69 60 64 54 54  
WEATHER COV.....DEF LKY CHC CHC SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............65 60 57 53 50 48 46 44 42 41 40 37  
RH..............63 69 77 80 89 86 86 86 82 79 76 79  
SURFACE WND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N NE NE  
SURFACE WND SPD.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 11 11  
SURFACE WND GST.20 21 20 21 20 20 21 21 21 21 23 23  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH  
IN THE MORNING.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........28 22 25 10 6 2 3 3 4 3 3 2  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............36 35 34 35 39 44 48 51 54 57 58 59  
RH..............72 72 69 66 52 41 34 29 26 23 24 23  
SURFACE WND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
SURFACE WND SPD.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 8 8  
SURFACE WND GST.23 22 21 21 21 20 18 18 17 16 16 15  
 
 
FORECASTER...SAM ROBERTS  
REQUESTED BY...A. REHR-ZIMMERMANN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...OTHER  
.TAG 2608164.0/MRX  
.DELDT 03/27/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL AREHR-ZIMMERMANN@NPS.GOV  
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