543  
FNUS74 KMRX 280846  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SZ CNF T33 SHORTCUT...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
446 AM EDT SAT MAR 28 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0500 EDT ON MARCH 28.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
   
..VERY LOW RH VALUES AND BREEZY WINDS TODAY  
 
STRONG NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.  
THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE DURING THE MORNING HOURS WITH GUSTS OF  
25 MPH OR MORE. BY THE AFTERNOON, WINDS WILL DECREASE SOME, BUT  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP INTO THE TEENS AND LOW 20S  
AREA-WIDE. THIS WILL SIGNIFICANTLY ELEVATE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS  
FOR THE DAY. SIMILARLY DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON SUNDAY BUT  
WITH LIGHTER WINDS FROM A MORE SOUTHERLY DIRECTION.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 11 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 36 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 17 TO 26 MPH DECREASING TO 12 TO 15  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........21 9 4 1 2 3 3 2 3 2 3 3  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............36 35 34 36 40 46 50 54 58 59 60 61  
RH..............69 66 61 52 44 32 28 23 20 19 18 18  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..11 11 10 10 9 8 8 7 6 6 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.29 29 28 26 23 21 19 17 16 14 14 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.1 1.1 0.9 2.0 2.1 2.7 2.9 3.2 3.5 3.5 3.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.23 23 22 23 26 23 23 21 18 17 15 12  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.  
MAX HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH  
AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
7 TO 16 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT,  
THEN INCREASING TO 16 TO 17 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........4 7 5 7 9 5 4 5 6 6 4 4  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............59 57 52 48 47 46 46 45 44 42 41 41  
RH..............20 24 31 34 35 37 35 35 35 38 39 36  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 3 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 10 10 8 10 10 10 11 13 13 13 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NE E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 8 6 7 10 14 16 16 17 17 16 17  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.  
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 22 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........6 5 4 3 6 8 12 16 20 20 21 21  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............40 41 41 43 48 54 58 61 64 65 66 66  
RH..............34 33 33 33 29 24 21 19 18 19 20 22  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 14 14 16 16 16 16 16 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.9 0.9 1.7 2.3 2.7 3.2 3.6 3.8 4.2 4.3 4.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 17 17 16 18 22 21 20 17 17 18 20  
 
 
FORECASTER...BRANDON WASILEWSKI  
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN MATOY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2607621.4/MRX  
.DELDT 03/28/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BRIAN.MATOY@USDA.GOV,CHARLES.DANIELS@USDA.GOV,WESLEY.SULTEMEIER@USDA.GOV,DAVID.DUBE@USDA.GOV  
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