468  
FNUS74 KMRX 011233  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LEACH MOUNTAIN TOP BURN AREA...TWRA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
833 AM EDT WED APR 1 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON APRIL 01.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
MODERATE TO HIGH MIN RH TODAY DUE TO SOUTHERLY FLOW AND INCREASED  
MOISTURE. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY NEAR THE  
BURN AREA. SHOWERS AND STORMS SHOULD BEGIN TO DEVELOP OVER THE  
NEXT FEW HOURS AND CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE DAY. WINDS WILL BE  
SOMEWHAT BREEZY OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AT AROUND 15 MPH. DAILY  
CHANCES FOR RAIN AND STORMS CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND.  
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT  
AND SUNDAY MORNING.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON, THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.  
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....  
SOUTHWEST 13 TO 17 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.23 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........70 66 63 68 55 56 39 45 46  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY  
TEMP............63 65 67 68 71 73 74 75 74  
RH..............84 78 75 73 66 62 59 58 57  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW S S S S S SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 7 8 9 10 10 10 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 10 10 12 14 15 14 14 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.2 1.5 2.0 2.3 3.0 3.1 3.4 3.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW S S SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 13 15 15 16 17 16 17  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN  
THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5  
MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 15 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.06 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........37 46 45 48 33 26 13 23 16 16 19 23  
WEATHER COV.....LKY CHC SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........LKY CHC SCH SCH  
TEMP............74 73 70 68 66 65 65 64 64 63 62 62  
RH..............55 57 63 70 73 75 75 75 75 78 84 84  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S SW S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 13 10 10 8 8 8 10 10 10 10 9  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.  
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 24 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........24 26 33 31 26 20 21 22 23 24 25 26  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH  
TEMP............61 62 62 63 66 69 72 74 77 78 79 79  
RH..............87 84 84 84 78 70 64 57 50 47 45 44  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 11 13 14 17 18 18 18 18 18 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.4 3.4 4.3 4.9 5.5 5.7 5.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 12 12 16 21 23 23 23 24 24 23  
 

 
FORECASTER...SAM ROBERTS  
REQUESTED BY...BRENDEN MARLOW  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2608788.0/MRX  
.DELDT 04/01/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BRENDEN.MARLOW@TN.GOV  
 
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