563  
FNUS74 KMRX 202256  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SAR TRILLIUM GAP TRAIL...GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAINS NATIONAL PARK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
656 PM EDT WED MAY 20 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1900 EDT ON MAY 20.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING.  
WE MAY SEE A BREAK AFTER MIDNIGHT, BEFORE ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND  
STORMS SPREAD INTO THE AREA THURSDAY MORNING. HEAVY DOWNPOURS,  
FREQUENT LIGHTNING, AND GUSTY WINDS ARE ALL POSSIBILITIES WITH ANY  
STRONGER STORM.  
 
A WET AND UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE  
WEEKEND. PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ARE  
ANTICIPATED EACH DAY, ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY  
EVENING HOURS.  
 
   
REST OF TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
EVENING, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............56.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 6  
MPH OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........63 68 70 89 80 72 74 74 80 80 72  
WEATHER COV.....CHC LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 60 70 50 40 40 30 30 40 40 50  
TEMP............61 60 60 59 58 58 58 57 58 57 57  
DEWPOINT........55 56 57 57 57 56 56 55 55 55 55  
RH..............81 87 90 93 96 93 93 93 90 93 93  
SURFACE WND DIR.SW S S S SW S S S S S SW  
SURFACE WND SPD.6 8 6 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6  
SURFACE WND GST.10 12 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS  
THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MIN HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............57.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........82 84 76 79 85 79 85 89 85 86 91 89  
WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 30 50 50 80 90 100 90 80 80 60  
TEMP............57 56 58 59 58 57 57 58 58 59 60 58  
DEWPOINT........56 56 58 59 58 56 56 57 56 58 58 57  
RH..............96 100 100 100 100 96 96 96 93 96 93 96  
SURFACE WND DIR.S S SW S S SW SW SW SW SW W SW  
SURFACE WND SPD.6 6 6 6 6 5 4 4 4 3 3 3  
SURFACE WND GST.9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 8 7 7 7  
 
 
FORECASTER...SAM ROBERTS  
REQUESTED BY...JOSH ALBRITTON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR  
.TAG 2614183.0/MRX  
.DELDT 05/20/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL GRSM_DISPATCH@NPS.GOV  
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