452
FXUS64 KMRX 021739
AFDMRX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
139 PM EDT TUE JUN 2 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 135 PM EDT TUE JUN 2 2026
- A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
MAINLY FOR THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS, NORTHEAST TN, SOUTHWEST
VA, AND SOUTHWEST NC. SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE.
- A DRY WEATHER PATTERN WILL AND SET UP ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE
REST OF THE WEEK. SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH
THURSDAY WITH DRIER AIR, THEN A RETURN TO NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES NEXT WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 118 AM EDT TUE JUN 2 2026
A FAIRLY STOUT BACKDOOR SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL SWING OVERHEAD LATER
THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. THIS WILL SUPPORT AND HELP FIRE ISOLATED
TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS, MAINLY ALONG THE
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. THAT CHANCE ALSO EXTENDS OVER SOUTHWEST NC,
NORTHEAST TN, AND SOUTHWEST VA THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL ABOUT SUNSET.
CAPE WILL BE IN THE NEIGHBORHOOD OF A COUPLE OF HUNDRED, AND LAPSE
RATES WILL BE STEEPENING UNDER COLDER TEMPS ALOFT. M-L LRS ON A
COUPLE OF FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE NEAR 7 C/KM. SO, SMALL HAIL
CANNOT BE RULED OUT, AS WELL AS GUSTY WIND POTENTIAL WITH DCAPE IN
THE 700S. SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL BE A BIT COOLER TODAY, AS
WELL AS DEW POINTS MARKEDLY LOWER.
WEDNESDAY UNTIL THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEKEND WILL BE A WELCOMED CHANGE
TO THE WEATHER PATTERN, ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS THAT HAVE SEEN COPIOUS
AMOUNTS OF RAIN LATELY. RIDGING ALOFT WILL SHIFT OVER FROM THE WEST,
WHILE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE NEAR THE GREAT LAKES DRIFTS TO THE MID-
ATLANTIC, WITH TIME. THIS WILL KEEP THE FORECAST AREA DRY FOR
MULTIPLE DAYS. SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED
TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY, WITH A RETURN TO NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES
FRIDAY ONWARD. HUMIDITY ALSO WON'T BE AS BAD AS WHAT IT HAS BEEN AT
THE START OF THE AFOREMENTIONED DAYS. A SLOW RETURN TO 60S AND SOME
70S DEW POINTS CAN BE EXPECTED NEXT WEEKEND WHEN RETURN FLOW TRIES
TO DEVELOP OUT AHEAD OF INCREASING CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION
SUNDAY.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 135 PM EDT TUE JUN 2 2026
PREDOMINANT VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE PERIOD. BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS
ARE EXPECTED AT CHA/TYS THIS AFTERNOON, BECOMING LIGHT AT 5KTS OR
LESS TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES IN. THERE
WILL BE SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDER IN VICINITY OF
TRI FOR A FEW HOURS THIS AFTERNOON. REDUCED VISIBILITY MAY OCCUR
IF A STORM DIRECTLY IMPACTS A TERMINAL. A BRIEF PROB30 IS USED TO
HIGHLIGHT THE TIME OF GREATEST PROBABILITY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN 59 81 59 84 / 0 0 0 0
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN 55 80 57 84 / 10 0 0 0
OAK RIDGE, TN 55 80 57 83 / 0 0 0 0
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN 51 81 53 84 / 10 0 0 0
MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...KS
AVIATION...KRS
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