487  
FNUS74 KMRX 032035  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR RAINBOW FALLS SAR...GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAINS NATIONAL PARK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
435 PM EDT FRI JUL 3 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1700 EDT ON JULY 03.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
..HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
NEAR TERM RISKS ARE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE PARK. A  
STORM IS CURRENTLY FORMING OVER GSMNP AND HEADING TOWARDS  
GATLINBURG AND OUT OF THE PARK, WITH ADDITIONAL STORMS LOCATED  
NEAR CHEROKEE MOVING GENERALLY TO THE NORTHWEST. SCATTERED SHOWER  
AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 4  
TO 5 HOURS BEFORE SUBSIDING WITH NIGHTFALL. STORM DEVELOPMENT IS  
VERY DIFFICULT TO PREDICT IN THE SUMMER, BUT HIGH STORM CHANCES  
ARE LIKELY AS STORMS POP UP, MOVE OFF, AND WEAKEN.  
 
TONIGHT STORM ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE NEAR OR  
SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET, WITH QUIET WEATHER LIKELY OVERNIGHT.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY  
AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.  
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............61.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS.  
 
TIME (EDT) 5PM  
SKY (%).........73  
WEATHER COV.....LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW  
TSTM COV........CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).60  
TEMP............71  
DEWPOINT........61  
RH..............71  
SURFACE WND DIR.SE  
SURFACE WND SPD.3  
SURFACE WND GST.6  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING,  
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............60.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH IN  
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........62 67 77 62 50 48 41 23 23 16 25 28  
WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 30 20 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............71 71 70 69 69 68 68 67 67 66 66 65  
DEWPOINT........61 61 62 62 61 61 60 60 59 59 59 58  
RH..............71 71 76 78 76 78 76 78 75 78 78 78  
SURFACE WND DIR.NE SE E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S  
SURFACE WND SPD.3 3 4 5 6 8 8 8 8 6 6 6  
SURFACE WND GST.5 6 7 7 8 9 9 8 7 7  
 
 
FORECASTER...NATHAN WELLINGTON  
REQUESTED BY...MATT TIGER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR  
.TAG 2616715.0/MRX  
.DELDT 07/03/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL GRSM_DISPATCH@NPS.GOV  
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