575
FXUS64 KMRX 140526
AFDMRX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
126 AM EDT MON SEP 14 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 122 AM EDT MON SEP 14 2026
- DRY FOR MOST OF THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEK WITH ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES CONTINUING.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 116 PM EDT SUN SEP 13 2026
QUIETER WEATHER EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH CLOUDS
STILL SLOWLY CLEARING OUT. THIS CLOUD DECK HAS HELPED KEEP
TEMPERATURES IN CHECK TODAY WITH MANY LOCATIONS STILL SITTING IN THE
LOW 80'S AS OF THIS WRITING. THOSE LOCATIONS IN THE SOUTHERN VALLEY
THAT HAVE CLEARED OUT ARE REALLY RAMPING UP IN TEMPERATURE
HOWEVER... CLOUDS WILL EVENTUALLY CLEAR OUT, AND UNFORTUNATELY
EVERYONE WILL GET ANOTHER WARM DAY TODAY LIKE MOST DAYS THE PAST
MONTH.
A SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH TO OUR NORTH TOMORROW, FOLLOWED BY A
SURFACE COLD FRONT. CAMS GENERALLY HAVE NO POPS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
DRY FRONT WITH THE BETTER FORCING REMAINING OFF TO OUR NORTH. CAN'T
COMPLETELY RULE OUT A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS, BUT IT LOOKS
INCREASINGLY UNLIKELY. FRONT EVENTUALLY MOVES THROUGH, BUT IT'S MORE
OF A FRONT IN NAME, RATHER THAN IMPACT AS WE SHOULD GET YET ANOTHER
VERY WARM DAY ACROSS THE EASTERN TENNESSEE VALLEY.
THE DOG DAYS OF SUMMER ARE BACK IN FULL EFFECT TUESDAY THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK WITH HIGHS IN THE 90'S FOR MOST OF THE VALLEY
LOCATIONS... AND HEAT INDEX VALUES ECLIPSING THE TRIPLE DIGIT MARK
FOR MOST PEOPLE ALONG I-40 AND SOUTH. WE COULD SEE MULTIPLE DAYS OF
HEAT ADVISORIES NEEDED ON TUESDAY AND BEYOND. DEW POINT VALUES ARE
FORECASTED TO DROP A COUPLE OF DEGREES BY THE SECOND HALF OF THE
WEEK, SO WE MIGHT "TECHNICALLY" NOT HIT HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA...
BUT WE'LL ALMOST CERTAINLY BE WITHIN A FEW DEGREES OF IT. ANY WAY
YOU SLICE IT THIS UPCOMING WEEK IS SHAPING UP TO BE HOT AND MOSTLY
DRY AGAIN.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 122 AM EDT MON SEP 14 2026
THE MAIN AVIATION IMPACT OVERNIGHT WILL BE TRI WITH MVFR CURRENTLY
FORECAST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. IT IS SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN
IF THIS WILL BE MORE FROM CEILINGS OR FROM FOG, BUT THE REDUCTIONS
ARE EXPECTED NONETHELESS. FOR CHA AND TYS, VFR IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE. TRI WILL RECOVER EARLY IN THE MORNING WITH VFR AND
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS ACROSS ALL 3 SITES. SOME CLOUDS AT OR ABOVE
5,000 FEET ARE EXPECTED BUT LIMITED CEILINGS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN 96 71 96 71 / 0 0 0 0
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN 91 68 94 69 / 0 0 0 0
OAK RIDGE, TN 90 67 93 69 / 0 0 0 0
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN 85 63 88 62 / 10 0 0 0
MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...99
AVIATION...BW
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