506
FNUS74 KMRX 190125
FWSMRX
SPOT FORECAST FOR RAMSEY CASCADES TRAIL...GRSM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
925 PM EDT FRI SEP 18 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2100 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.
DISCUSSION
SHOWERS MAY CONTINUE FOR ANOTHER HOUR OR TWO IN THE SAR AREA, BUT
EXPECT RAIN TO LARGELY COME TO AN END BY 11 PM EDT. FURTHER UPSTREAM
IN SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY, AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS WAS WEAKENING AS OF
9 PM EDT. ALL GUIDANCE POINTS TO THESE STORMS WEAKENING AND
DISSIPATING AS THEY APPROACH THE TN AND KY STATE LINE AREA. HOWEVER,
IF THEY WERE TO HOLD TOGETHER, THEY WOULD ARRIVE IN THE GRSM AREA
BY 3-4 AM EDT. BUT AGAIN, ALL GUIDANCE IS POINTING TOWARDS THESE
DISSIPATING.
OTHERWISE, ABNORMALLY HOT TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND
AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
AGAIN TOMORROW, AND ON SUNDAY, THOUGH COVERAGE WILL BE LESS ON SUN.
THEY WILL PROBABLY DEVELOP OVER THE SMOKIES DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS ON SATURDAY.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE
IN THE EVENING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
LATE IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............64 DECREASING TO 61 OVERNIGHT.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS.
TIME (EDT) 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........36 50 58 45 46 38 35 31 34
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 30 20 20 10 0 0 0 0
TEMP............70 70 68 68 67 67 67 67 66
DEWPOINT........66 64 63 61 61 61 61 61 61
RH..............88 83 83 77 80 80 80 82 84
SURFACE WND DIR.NE NE E E E E E E W
SURFACE WND SPD.4 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1
SURFACE WND GST.6 6 5 5 3 3 3 3 3
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............62 INCREASING TO 64 LATE IN THE MORNING.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........34 25 10 16 12 30 25 28 26 22 20 38
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 20 10 20 20 30 30
TEMP............65 65 66 67 69 71 73 74 74 74 74 75
DEWPOINT........60 60 60 63 64 65 65 64 64 65 64 63
RH..............83 83 82 86 84 81 76 71 71 74 71 66
SURFACE WND DIR.SE SE SE S NW NW NW NW NW NW N NW
SURFACE WND SPD.3 3 3 3 1 3 4 4 5 5 5 4
SURFACE WND GST. 5 5 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 8
SATURDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING,
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............62.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 8 MPH LATE IN
THE EVENING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT EARLY IN THE
MORNING.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........40 45 44 40 37 45 37 33 36 33 36 35
WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 10 10 20 10 10 10 10 0 10 10
TEMP............73 73 71 69 68 68 67 67 66 67 66 66
DEWPOINT........63 64 62 61 61 60 60 60 60 60 61 60
RH..............71 73 73 76 78 76 78 78 81 78 84 81
SURFACE WND DIR.N SE SE SE S S S S S S S S
SURFACE WND SPD.4 3 3 4 5 6 8 8 8 8 6 5
SURFACE WND GST.7 6 6 8 9 10 12 12 12 12 10 9
FORECASTER...CHARLES DALTON
REQUESTED BY...HEEMSTRA
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 2622143.0/MRX
.DELDT 09/18/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL GRSM_DISPATCH@NPS.GOV
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