244
FNUS75 KMSO 182211
FWSMSO
SPOT FORECAST FOR BANANA LAKE FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
411 PM MDT WED JUN 18 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 MDT ON JUNE 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
THURSDAY WILL SEE SIMILAR TEMPERATURES AND RHS TO
WHAT WAS OBSERVED ON WEDNESDAY. BY THURSDAY LATE EVENING INTO
FRIDAY MORNING, SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY
INCREASE OVER THE AREA. FRIDAY WILL SEE SEVERAL WAVES OF SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY BUT RHS WILL BE HIGHER AND TEMPS COOLER.
THIS WEEKEND LOOKS WET WITH A 100% CHANCE OF SEEING AT LEAST A
WETTING RAIN. CURRENT FORECAST MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS A REASONABLE
STORM TOTAL OF 0.30 TO 0.56". THERE ARE SOME MODELS SHOWING AN
EVENT WETTER SOLUTION, WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE STORM TOTAL
AMOUNTS COULD GO OVER 0.75" BY SUNDAY MORNING.
JUNETEENTH
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
* MIN HUMIDITY........14-19 PERCENT.
* WIND (20 FT)........WEST 5-8 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL.
* MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 MPH.
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.
THURSDAY NIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN
OVERNIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...10 PERCENT.
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....20 PERCENT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
* MAX HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
* WIND (20 FT)........WEST 5-8 MPH. GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE WITH
SHOWERS.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL EARLY IN
THE EVENING.
* MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 MPH.
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00-0.02 INCHES.
FRIDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. THEN RAIN
SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...40 PERCENT.
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....20 PERCENT, INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
* MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
* WIND (20 FT)........WEST 5-10 MPH. GUSTS TO 17 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
* MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 MPH.
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.06-0.12 INCHES.
FORECASTER...JENNK
REQUESTED BY...TERRENCE CALDWELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2516206.0/MSO
.DELDT 06/18/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL TERRENCE.CALDWELL@MT.GOV
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