831
FNUS75 KMSO 221133
FWSMSO
SPOT FORECAST FOR DEER FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
533 AM MDT TUE JUL 22 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0605 MDT ON JULY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE AVERAGE MOISTURE
WILL CONTINUE TODAY. ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD BY
AFTERNOON ALONG WITH THUNDERSTORM CHANCES. ALTHOUGH SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL UNDER THE
CORES, THE CHANCE OF THE FIRE TAKING A DIRECT HIT IS ONLY ABOUT 20
PERCENT. WARMING AND DRYING WILL BEGIN ON WEDNESDAY WITH
AFTERNOON SOUTHWEST-WESTERLY WINDS.
REST OF TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...20 PERCENT.
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....40 PERCENT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
* MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
* WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 3-5 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
WEST-NORTHWEST 6-10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 MPH.
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.01-0.09 INCHES.
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...LESS THAN 10 PERCENT.
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....20 PERCENT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
* MAX HUMIDITY........71-76 PERCENT.
* WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 6-10 MPH BECOMING VARIABLE 3-5 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL DECREASING TO LESS THAN 100 FT
AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
* MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 MPH.
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.
WEDNESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
* MIN HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT.
* WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 5-7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 8-10
MPH WITH GUSTS 15-20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 MPH.
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.
FORECASTER...KITSMILLER
REQUESTED BY...SEAN RIVERA
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2518256.5/MSO
.DELDT 07/22/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL STRYKER.CLAR@USDA.GOV,THEODEN.M.JOHNSON@USDA.GOV,SEAN.RIVERA@USDA.GOV,ANDREW.BIDWELL@USDA.GOV,MTMDC@FIRENET.GOV
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