991
FNUS75 KMSO 201144
FWSMSO
SPOT FORECAST FOR ELK CREEK FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
544 AM MDT WED AUG 20 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON AUGUST 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM
MDT THIS EVENING...
DISCUSSION
ANOTHER WARM, DRY AND UNSTABLE IS EXPECTED FOR THE
FIRE AREA. THE COMBINATION OF WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY WILL CREATE
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER 1600 MDT NEAR THE FIRE. ANY STORMS WILL
BE CAPABLE OF GUSTY ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS. A WEAK DRY COLD FRONT
IS ANTICIPATED TO PUSH THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS.
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. HAZE IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....15 PERCENT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-95.
* MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.
* WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 3-8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 14000 FT AGL.
* MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 MPH.
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. HAZE.
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....20 PERCENT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
* MAX HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT.
* WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 7-12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE VARIABLE
2-7 MPH OVERNIGHT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL.
* MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. HAZE.
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
* MIN HUMIDITY........24-29 PERCENT.
* WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
5-10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL.
* MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 MPH.
FORECASTER...SMITH
REQUESTED BY...JASON WHEELER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2520118.3/MSO
.DELDT 08/20/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JASON@READYGALLATIN.COM
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